MX23RW : Saturday, May 6 20:09:24| >> :600:204418:204418:
Bristol Rovers
FA Cup | First Round
Nov 5, 2022 at 3pm UK
Memorial Stadium
Rochdale
Bristol Rovers
1 - 0
Rochdale
Sinclair (65')
Gibbons (69')
FT(HT: 0-0)

John (14'), Odoh (63')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Bristol Rovers and Rochdale, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Derby 4-2 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Walsall 1-0 Rochdale
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Bristol Rovers 3-1 Rochdale

The League One side should have enough quality to beat Rochdale, especially if Aaron Collins starts the game. Rochdale will be hoping they can keep things tight and cause an upset in this fixture, but we expect them to fall short. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 52.67%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 24.14% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.54%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 1-2 (6.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bristol Rovers would win this match.

Result
Bristol RoversDrawRochdale
52.67% (0.098999999999997 0.1) 23.18% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02) 24.14% (-0.084 -0.08)
Both teams to score 56.78% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.27% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)43.73% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.88% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)66.12% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.39% (0.033000000000001 0.03)16.6% (-0.035 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.58% (0.061 0.06)46.42% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Rochdale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.08% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)31.92% (0.071999999999999 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.63% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)68.37% (0.080999999999989 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Bristol Rovers 52.67%
    Rochdale 24.14%
    Draw 23.18%
Bristol RoversDrawRochdale
2-1 @ 9.76% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
1-0 @ 9.52% (0.013 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.54% (0.020999999999999 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.84% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.11% (0.019 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.33% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.62% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.3% (0.011 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.5% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 0.94% (0.003 0)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 52.67%
1-1 @ 10.86% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.57% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.3% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.27% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.18%
1-2 @ 6.21% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-1 @ 6.05% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.46% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.36% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.12% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.32% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 24.14%

How you voted: Bristol Rovers vs Rochdale

Bristol Rovers
64.7%
Draw
29.4%
Rochdale
5.9%
17
Head to Head
Apr 30, 2022 3pm
Rochdale
3-4
Bristol Rovers
Charman (11', 17'), O'Keeffe (60')
Keohane (58'), Taylor (69'), O'Keeffe (83'), Charman (85')
Finley (54'), Collins (66', 89'), Anderson (90+5')
Anderson (39')
Coutts (90+8')
Dec 11, 2021 3pm
Bristol Rovers
4-2
Rochdale
Evans (10'), Collins (51', 89'), Anderson (84')
Beesley (60', 66')
Beesley (64')
Jan 30, 2021 3pm
Bristol Rovers
1-2
Rochdale
Leahy (34')
Newby (16', 64')
Dooley (75')
Oct 31, 2020 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables
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2Arsenal34246481394278
3Newcastle UnitedNewcastle331811461273465
4Manchester UnitedMan Utd3319684940963
5Liverpool35188967422562
6Tottenham HotspurSpurs35176126457757
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton32167962402255
8Aston Villa35166134643354
9Brentford35121495245750
10Fulham34136154546-145
11Chelsea34119143439-542
12Crystal Palace351010153546-1140
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves35117173050-2040
14Bournemouth35116183767-3039
15West Ham UnitedWest Ham3497183750-1334
16Leicester CityLeicester3486204659-1330
17Leeds UnitedLeeds3579194469-2530
18Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3479183062-3230
19Everton34611172752-2529
20Southampton3466222860-3224

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