Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 38.04%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 36.01% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.38%) and 0-2 (6.37%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 (9.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rochdale would win this match.
