MX23RW : Saturday, May 6 20:05:50| >> :600:204204:204204:
Port Vale
FA Cup | First Round
Nov 5, 2022 at 3pm UK
Vale Park
Exeter City
Port Vale
2 - 3
Exeter
Politic (25'), Butterworth (87')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Brown (43', 66'), Collins (89')
Stansfield (8'), Caprice (83')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Port Vale and Exeter City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wycombe 2-2 Port Vale
Tuesday, November 1 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Plymouth 4-2 Exeter
Monday, October 31 at 8pm in League One

We said: Port Vale 2-1 Exeter City

Although the previous meeting between the two sides ended in a dominant victory for Exeter, a lot has changed since then and with Port Vale in better form, they should progress to the next round. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 51.43%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Exeter City had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.68%), while for a Exeter City win it was 0-1 (7.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.

Result
Port ValeDrawExeter City
51.43% (0.010999999999996 0.01) 24.57% (0.013000000000002 0.01) 24% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 52.13% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.19% (-0.080000000000005 -0.08)49.8% (0.080000000000005 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.19% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07)71.8% (0.072000000000003 0.07)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.64% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)19.35% (0.029 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.86% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)51.14% (0.044999999999995 0.04)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.64% (-0.063999999999993 -0.06)35.35% (0.064 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.88% (-0.065000000000001 -0.07)72.11% (0.066000000000003 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Port Vale 51.42%
    Exeter City 24%
    Draw 24.56%
Port ValeDrawExeter City
1-0 @ 11.23% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.59% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 9.23% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.25% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.05% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.73% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.16% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 2.07%
4-2 @ 1.12% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 51.42%
1-1 @ 11.68% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.84% (0.021999999999999 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.99% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.95% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.56%
0-1 @ 7.11% (0.011 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.07% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.7% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 2.11% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.73% (-0.006 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.28% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 24%

Head to Head
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
Exeter
4-0
Port Vale
Kite (24'), Brown (38' pen., 72'), Nombe (75')
Diabate (30'), Sweeney (35')
May 7, 2022 3pm
Exeter
0-1
Port Vale

Stubbs (45+3')
Wilson (36')
Martin (43'), Wilson (45+1'), Stone (84')
Mar 22, 2022 7.45pm
Apr 2, 2021 3pm
Sep 19, 2020 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Manchester CityMan City34264489315882
2Arsenal34246481394278
3Newcastle UnitedNewcastle331811461273465
4Manchester UnitedMan Utd3319684940963
5Liverpool35188967422562
6Tottenham HotspurSpurs35176126457757
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton32167962402255
8Aston Villa35166134643354
9Brentford35121495245750
10Fulham34136154546-145
11Chelsea34119143439-542
12Crystal Palace351010153546-1140
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves35117173050-2040
14Bournemouth35116183767-3039
15West Ham UnitedWest Ham3497183750-1334
16Leicester CityLeicester3486204659-1330
17Leeds UnitedLeeds3579194469-2530
18Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3479183062-3230
19Everton34611172752-2529
20Southampton3466222860-3224

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