Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 42.82%. A win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 32.42% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.82%) and 0-2 (6.83%). The likeliest Forest Green Rovers win was 2-1 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.