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Heracles Almelo
Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 20
Jan 15, 2023 at 1.30pm UK
Polman Stadion
PEC Zwolle
Heracles
0 - 3
PEC Zwolle

Hoogma (33'), Hansson (85'), Satriano (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Lagsir (8'), van den Belt (35'), Thy (39')
Taha (18'), Medunjanin (72'), van den Belt (90+3')
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between Heracles and PEC Zwolle.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Jong AZ 1-1 Heracles
Friday, January 6 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: PEC Zwolle 3-2 Almere City
Friday, January 6 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 38.78%. A win for Heracles had a probability of 37.81% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.55%) and 0-2 (5.29%). The likeliest Heracles win was 2-1 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PEC Zwolle would win this match.

Result
HeraclesDrawPEC Zwolle
37.81% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02) 23.41% (0.0030000000000001 0) 38.78% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Both teams to score 63.75% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.09% (-0.0089999999999932 -0.01)37.91% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.83% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)60.17% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Heracles Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.62% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)20.38% (0.013000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.2% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)52.8% (0.020999999999994 0.02)
PEC Zwolle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.08% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)19.92% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.94% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)52.06% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Heracles 37.81%
    PEC Zwolle 38.78%
    Draw 23.41%
HeraclesDrawPEC Zwolle
2-1 @ 8.29% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-0 @ 6.46%
2-0 @ 5.14% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 4.39% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 3.54% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 2.72% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 1.75% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.41% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.08% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 37.81%
1-1 @ 10.42% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.68% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-0 @ 4.06% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.91%
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 23.41%
1-2 @ 8.41% (0.0019999999999989 0)
0-1 @ 6.55% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 5.29% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-3 @ 4.52% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 3.6%
0-3 @ 2.84% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-4 @ 1.82% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 1.45%
0-4 @ 1.15% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 38.78%

Head to Head
Oct 14, 2022 7pm
PEC Zwolle
3-2
Heracles
Kastaneer (27'), Thy (34', 36')
Kastaneer (38')
Armenteros (45+2'), Cicilia (88')
Feb 26, 2022 3.30pm
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