Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 47.74%. A win for Heracles had a probability of 27.8% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.43%) and 2-0 (7.93%). The likeliest Heracles win was 0-1 (7.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
