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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 40.1%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 33.48% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 0-1 (9.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Charlton Athletic would win this match.
Result | ||
Charlton Athletic | Draw | Exeter City |
40.1% ( 1.36) | 26.42% ( -0.01) | 33.48% ( -1.34) |
Both teams to score 52.42% ( -0.22) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.7% ( -0.16) | 52.3% ( 0.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.01% ( -0.14) | 73.99% ( 0.14) |
Charlton Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.37% ( 0.66) | 25.63% ( -0.66) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.48% ( 0.9) | 60.52% ( -0.89) |
Exeter City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.49% ( -0.93) | 29.51% ( 0.93) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.47% ( -1.15) | 65.52% ( 1.15) |
Score Analysis |
Charlton Athletic | Draw | Exeter City |
1-0 @ 10.29% ( 0.26) 2-1 @ 8.55% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 7.01% ( 0.3) 3-1 @ 3.88% ( 0.14) 3-0 @ 3.18% ( 0.2) 3-2 @ 2.37% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.32% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 1.08% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.4% Total : 40.09% | 1-1 @ 12.56% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.56% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.22% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.41% | 0-1 @ 9.23% ( -0.18) 1-2 @ 7.67% ( -0.21) 0-2 @ 5.63% ( -0.26) 1-3 @ 3.12% ( -0.17) 0-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.17) 2-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.46% Total : 33.48% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 28 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 51 | 29 | 22 | 61 |
2 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 27 | 17 | 7 | 3 | 47 | 18 | 29 | 58 |
3 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 28 | 15 | 9 | 4 | 53 | 28 | 25 | 54 |
4 | Derby CountyDerby | 27 | 14 | 8 | 5 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 50 |
5 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 37 | 23 | 14 | 50 |
6 | Barnsley | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 35 | 25 | 10 | 46 |
7 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 26 | 13 | 2 | 11 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 41 |
8 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 35 | 27 | 8 | 41 |
9 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 35 | 31 | 4 | 41 |
10 | Exeter CityExeter | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 41 | 39 | 2 | 38 |
11 | Portsmouth | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 34 | 32 | 2 | 37 |
12 | Bristol Rovers | 28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 43 | 50 | -7 | 37 |
13 | Port Vale | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 28 | 36 | -8 | 36 |
14 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 34 | 35 | -1 | 35 |
15 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 41 | 38 | 3 | 34 |
16 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 26 | 6 | 13 | 7 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 31 |
17 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 27 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 29 |
18 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 29 |
19 | Morecambe | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 27 |
20 | MK Dons | 28 | 7 | 4 | 17 | 25 | 40 | -15 | 25 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 24 | 41 | -17 | 25 |
22 | Burton Albion | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 25 |
23 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 27 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 23 | 46 | -23 | 25 |
24 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 29 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 24 | 55 | -31 | 21 |
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