Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantes win with a probability of 41.44%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 31.91% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nantes win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.65%) and 0-2 (7.43%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 (9.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nantes would win this match.
Result | ||
Montpellier HSC | Draw | Nantes |
31.91% ( -0.31) | 26.66% ( 0.03) | 41.44% ( 0.29) |
Both teams to score 51.22% ( -0.19) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.37% ( -0.2) | 53.63% ( 0.2) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.87% ( -0.17) | 75.13% ( 0.17) |
Montpellier HSC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.78% ( -0.31) | 31.22% ( 0.32) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.44% ( -0.37) | 67.57% ( 0.37) |
Nantes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.47% ( 0.06) | 25.53% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.62% ( 0.08) | 60.38% ( -0.08) |
Score Analysis |
Montpellier HSC | Draw | Nantes |
1-0 @ 9.28% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.37% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 5.4% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 2.86% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 2.1% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.95% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.95% Total : 31.91% | 1-1 @ 12.66% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.97% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.03% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.65% | 0-1 @ 10.88% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 8.65% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 7.43% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 3.94% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 3.38% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.34% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.15% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.37% Total : 41.44% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 37 | 27 | 4 | 6 | 87 | 37 | 50 | 85 |
2 | Lens | 37 | 24 | 9 | 4 | 65 | 28 | 37 | 81 |
3 | Marseille | 37 | 22 | 7 | 8 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 73 |
4 | Lille | 37 | 19 | 9 | 9 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 66 |
5 | Rennes | 37 | 20 | 5 | 12 | 67 | 38 | 29 | 65 |
6 | MonacoMonaco | 37 | 19 | 8 | 10 | 69 | 56 | 13 | 65 |
7 | Lyon | 37 | 18 | 8 | 11 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 62 |
8 | Clermont | 37 | 16 | 8 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 56 |
9 | Nice | 37 | 14 | 13 | 10 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 55 |
10 | Lorient | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 50 | 52 | -2 | 52 |
11 | Reims | 37 | 12 | 15 | 10 | 44 | 42 | 2 | 51 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 37 | 14 | 5 | 18 | 62 | 61 | 1 | 47 |
13 | Toulouse | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 49 | 56 | -7 | 45 |
14 | Brest | 37 | 11 | 11 | 15 | 43 | 52 | -9 | 44 |
15 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 37 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 50 | 57 | -7 | 40 |
16 | Auxerre | 37 | 8 | 11 | 18 | 34 | 60 | -26 | 35 |
17 | NantesNantes | 37 | 6 | 15 | 16 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 33 |
R | Troyes | 37 | 4 | 11 | 22 | 44 | 80 | -36 | 23 |
R | Ajaccio | 37 | 6 | 5 | 26 | 22 | 74 | -52 | 23 |
R | Angers | 37 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 33 | 80 | -47 | 18 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |