Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 78.56%. A draw had a probability of 14.1% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 7.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.24%) and 1-0 (10.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.72%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 0-1 (2.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Rennes in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Rennes.
Result | ||
Rennes | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
78.56% ( -0.1) | 14.14% ( -0.01) | 7.31% ( 0.1) |
Both teams to score 44.29% ( 0.61) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.33% ( 0.48) | 37.67% ( -0.48) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.09% ( 0.52) | 59.91% ( -0.52) |
Rennes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.28% ( 0.09) | 7.72% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
72.51% ( 0.22) | 27.49% ( -0.23) |
Montpellier HSC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
48% ( 0.62) | 52% ( -0.62) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
13.99% ( 0.4) | 86% ( -0.4) |
Score Analysis |
Rennes | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
2-0 @ 13.16% ( -0.19) 3-0 @ 11.24% ( -0.11) 1-0 @ 10.28% ( -0.19) 2-1 @ 8.61% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 7.35% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 7.2% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 4.71% ( 0.06) 5-0 @ 3.69% ( -0) 5-1 @ 2.41% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.4% ( 0.06) 6-0 @ 1.58% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.54% ( 0.05) 6-1 @ 1.03% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.34% Total : 78.54% | 1-1 @ 6.72% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.01% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 2.82% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.58% Total : 14.14% | 0-1 @ 2.63% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 2.2% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.48% Total : 7.31% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 37 | 27 | 4 | 6 | 87 | 37 | 50 | 85 |
2 | Lens | 37 | 24 | 9 | 4 | 65 | 28 | 37 | 81 |
3 | Marseille | 37 | 22 | 7 | 8 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 73 |
4 | Lille | 37 | 19 | 9 | 9 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 66 |
5 | Rennes | 37 | 20 | 5 | 12 | 67 | 38 | 29 | 65 |
6 | MonacoMonaco | 37 | 19 | 8 | 10 | 69 | 56 | 13 | 65 |
7 | Lyon | 37 | 18 | 8 | 11 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 62 |
8 | Clermont | 37 | 16 | 8 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 56 |
9 | Nice | 37 | 14 | 13 | 10 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 55 |
10 | Lorient | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 50 | 52 | -2 | 52 |
11 | Reims | 37 | 12 | 15 | 10 | 44 | 42 | 2 | 51 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 37 | 14 | 5 | 18 | 62 | 61 | 1 | 47 |
13 | Toulouse | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 49 | 56 | -7 | 45 |
14 | Brest | 37 | 11 | 11 | 15 | 43 | 52 | -9 | 44 |
15 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 37 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 50 | 57 | -7 | 40 |
16 | Auxerre | 37 | 8 | 11 | 18 | 34 | 60 | -26 | 35 |
17 | NantesNantes | 37 | 6 | 15 | 16 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 33 |
R | Troyes | 37 | 4 | 11 | 22 | 44 | 80 | -36 | 23 |
R | Ajaccio | 37 | 6 | 5 | 26 | 22 | 74 | -52 | 23 |
R | Angers | 37 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 33 | 80 | -47 | 18 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |