Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Troyes win with a probability of 45.86%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 27.98% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Troyes win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (8.4%). The likeliest Nantes win was 0-1 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Troyes | Draw | Nantes |
45.86% ( 0.03) | 26.16% ( -0) | 27.98% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 50.75% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.7% ( -0.01) | 53.29% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.15% ( -0.01) | 74.84% ( 0.01) |
Troyes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.81% ( 0.01) | 23.19% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.91% ( 0.02) | 57.08% ( -0.02) |
Nantes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.08% ( -0.03) | 33.92% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.41% ( -0.03) | 70.59% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Troyes | Draw | Nantes |
1-0 @ 11.49% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.08% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.4% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.42% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.09% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.39% 4-1 @ 1.62% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.5% ( 0) Other @ 2.86% Total : 45.85% | 1-1 @ 12.42% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.87% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.91% ( -0) Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.15% | 0-1 @ 8.51% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.72% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.6% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.42% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.77% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.66% ( -0) Other @ 2.31% Total : 27.98% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 37 | 27 | 4 | 6 | 87 | 37 | 50 | 85 |
2 | Lens | 37 | 24 | 9 | 4 | 65 | 28 | 37 | 81 |
3 | Marseille | 37 | 22 | 7 | 8 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 73 |
4 | Lille | 37 | 19 | 9 | 9 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 66 |
5 | Rennes | 37 | 20 | 5 | 12 | 67 | 38 | 29 | 65 |
6 | MonacoMonaco | 37 | 19 | 8 | 10 | 69 | 56 | 13 | 65 |
7 | Lyon | 37 | 18 | 8 | 11 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 62 |
8 | Clermont | 37 | 16 | 8 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 56 |
9 | Nice | 37 | 14 | 13 | 10 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 55 |
10 | Lorient | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 50 | 52 | -2 | 52 |
11 | Reims | 37 | 12 | 15 | 10 | 44 | 42 | 2 | 51 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 37 | 14 | 5 | 18 | 62 | 61 | 1 | 47 |
13 | Toulouse | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 49 | 56 | -7 | 45 |
14 | Brest | 37 | 11 | 11 | 15 | 43 | 52 | -9 | 44 |
15 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 37 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 50 | 57 | -7 | 40 |
16 | Auxerre | 37 | 8 | 11 | 18 | 34 | 60 | -26 | 35 |
17 | NantesNantes | 37 | 6 | 15 | 16 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 33 |
R | Troyes | 37 | 4 | 11 | 22 | 44 | 80 | -36 | 23 |
R | Ajaccio | 37 | 6 | 5 | 26 | 22 | 74 | -52 | 23 |
R | Angers | 37 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 33 | 80 | -47 | 18 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |