Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantes win with a probability of 40.98%. A win for Troyes had a probability of 30.52% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.15%) and 2-0 (7.97%). The likeliest Troyes win was 0-1 (10.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nantes would win this match.
Result | ||
Nantes | Draw | Troyes |
40.98% | 28.5% | 30.52% |
Both teams to score 45.36% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.19% | 60.8% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.15% | 80.84% |
Nantes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.85% | 29.15% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.91% | 65.08% |
Troyes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.02% | 35.98% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.24% | 72.75% |
Score Analysis |
Nantes | Draw | Troyes |
1-0 @ 12.92% 2-1 @ 8.15% 2-0 @ 7.97% 3-1 @ 3.35% 3-0 @ 3.27% 3-2 @ 1.71% 4-1 @ 1.03% 4-0 @ 1.01% Other @ 1.56% Total : 40.97% | 1-1 @ 13.21% 0-0 @ 10.48% 2-2 @ 4.16% Other @ 0.63% Total : 28.49% | 0-1 @ 10.72% 1-2 @ 6.76% 0-2 @ 5.48% 1-3 @ 2.3% 0-3 @ 1.87% 2-3 @ 1.42% Other @ 1.97% Total : 30.52% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 32 | 24 | 3 | 5 | 75 | 31 | 44 | 75 |
2 | Marseille | 32 | 20 | 7 | 5 | 59 | 31 | 28 | 67 |
3 | Lens | 32 | 19 | 9 | 4 | 54 | 25 | 29 | 66 |
4 | MonacoMonaco | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 66 | 46 | 20 | 61 |
5 | Lille | 32 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 57 | 40 | 17 | 56 |
6 | Rennes | 32 | 16 | 5 | 11 | 51 | 34 | 17 | 53 |
7 | Lyon | 32 | 14 | 8 | 10 | 50 | 36 | 14 | 50 |
8 | Reims | 32 | 11 | 14 | 7 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 47 |
9 | Clermont | 32 | 13 | 7 | 12 | 35 | 43 | -8 | 46 |
10 | Nice | 32 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 39 | 31 | 8 | 45 |
11 | Lorient | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 45 |
12 | Toulouse | 32 | 12 | 5 | 15 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 41 |
13 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 32 | 12 | 4 | 16 | 48 | 52 | -4 | 40 |
14 | Auxerre | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 30 | 53 | -23 | 33 |
15 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 43 | 53 | -10 | 32 |
16 | NantesNantes | 32 | 6 | 14 | 12 | 35 | 46 | -11 | 32 |
17 | Brest | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 35 | 48 | -13 | 32 |
18 | Troyes | 32 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 41 | 69 | -28 | 22 |
19 | Ajaccio | 32 | 6 | 4 | 22 | 22 | 58 | -36 | 22 |
R | Angers | 32 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 25 | 68 | -43 | 14 |
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