Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 59.35%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Troyes had a probability of 19.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 2-0 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.14%), while for a Troyes win it was 0-1 (5.17%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.
Result | ||
Lyon | Draw | Troyes |
59.35% | 21.56% | 19.09% |
Both teams to score 54.9% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.25% | 42.75% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.85% | 65.15% |
Lyon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.96% | 14.04% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.39% | 41.61% |
Troyes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.87% | 36.13% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.08% | 72.91% |
Score Analysis |
Lyon | Draw | Troyes |
1-0 @ 9.96% 2-1 @ 9.95% 2-0 @ 9.78% 3-1 @ 6.51% 3-0 @ 6.4% 3-2 @ 3.32% 4-1 @ 3.2% 4-0 @ 3.14% 4-2 @ 1.63% 5-1 @ 1.26% 5-0 @ 1.23% Other @ 2.98% Total : 59.35% | 1-1 @ 10.14% 0-0 @ 5.07% 2-2 @ 5.07% 3-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 0.15% Total : 21.56% | 0-1 @ 5.17% 1-2 @ 5.16% 0-2 @ 2.63% 1-3 @ 1.75% 2-3 @ 1.72% Other @ 2.66% Total : 19.09% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 22 | 17 | 3 | 2 | 54 | 17 | 37 | 54 |
2 | Marseille | 21 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 42 | 17 | 25 | 46 |
3 | Lens | 21 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 33 | 15 | 18 | 45 |
4 | MonacoMonaco | 21 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 46 | 29 | 17 | 41 |
5 | Rennes | 22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 41 | 25 | 16 | 40 |
6 | Lille | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 38 | 27 | 11 | 38 |
7 | Lorient | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 35 | 34 | 1 | 35 |
8 | Lyon | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 33 | 24 | 9 | 32 |
9 | Nice | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 31 |
10 | Clermont | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 30 |
11 | Reims | 21 | 6 | 11 | 4 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 29 |
12 | Toulouse | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 36 | 38 | -2 | 29 |
13 | NantesNantes | 21 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 26 | -5 | 22 |
14 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 21 | 6 | 2 | 13 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 20 |
15 | Brest | 21 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 19 |
16 | Troyes | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 33 | 48 | -15 | 19 |
17 | Ajaccio | 21 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 18 | 37 | -19 | 18 |
18 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 21 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 25 | 39 | -14 | 15 |
19 | Auxerre | 21 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 18 | 46 | -28 | 13 |
20 | Angers | 21 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 18 | 47 | -29 | 8 |
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