Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Troyes win with a probability of 43.44%. A win for Metz had a probability of 30.04% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Troyes win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.85%) and 0-2 (7.89%). The likeliest Metz win was 1-0 (8.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Troyes would win this match.
Result | ||
Metz | Draw | Troyes |
30.04% | 26.52% | 43.44% |
Both teams to score 50.86% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.27% | 53.73% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.78% | 75.22% |
Metz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.41% | 32.59% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.87% | 69.13% |
Troyes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.45% | 24.55% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.96% | 59.04% |
Score Analysis |
Metz | Draw | Troyes |
1-0 @ 8.97% 2-1 @ 7.06% 2-0 @ 5.03% 3-1 @ 2.64% 3-0 @ 1.88% 3-2 @ 1.85% Other @ 2.61% Total : 30.04% | 1-1 @ 12.59% 0-0 @ 8% 2-2 @ 4.96% Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.51% | 0-1 @ 11.23% 1-2 @ 8.85% 0-2 @ 7.89% 1-3 @ 4.14% 0-3 @ 3.69% 2-3 @ 2.32% 1-4 @ 1.45% 0-4 @ 1.3% Other @ 2.56% Total : 43.43% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 38 | 26 | 8 | 4 | 90 | 36 | 54 | 86 |
2 | Marseille | 38 | 21 | 8 | 9 | 63 | 38 | 25 | 71 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 38 | 20 | 9 | 9 | 65 | 40 | 25 | 69 |
4 | Rennes | 38 | 20 | 6 | 12 | 82 | 40 | 42 | 66 |
5 | Nice | 38 | 20 | 7 | 11 | 52 | 36 | 16 | 66 |
6 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 38 | 17 | 12 | 9 | 60 | 43 | 17 | 63 |
7 | Lens | 38 | 17 | 11 | 10 | 62 | 48 | 14 | 62 |
8 | Lyon | 38 | 17 | 11 | 10 | 66 | 51 | 15 | 61 |
9 | NantesNantes | 38 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 55 |
10 | Lille | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 48 | 48 | 0 | 55 |
11 | Brest | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 49 | 57 | -8 | 48 |
12 | Reims | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 46 |
13 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 38 | 12 | 7 | 19 | 49 | 61 | -12 | 43 |
14 | Angers | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 41 |
15 | Troyes | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 38 |
16 | Lorient | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 35 | 63 | -28 | 36 |
17 | Clermont | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 38 | 69 | -31 | 36 |
18 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 38 | 7 | 11 | 20 | 42 | 77 | -35 | 32 |
R | Metz | 38 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 35 | 69 | -34 | 31 |
R | Bordeaux | 38 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 52 | 91 | -39 | 31 |
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