Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 54.4%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Port Vale had a probability of 20.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.61%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.73%), while for a Port Vale win it was 0-1 (7.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.
