Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lokomotiv Moscow win with a probability of 37.08%. A win for Ural Yekaterinburg had a probability of 36.28% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lokomotiv Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.16%) and 0-2 (6.42%). The likeliest Ural Yekaterinburg win was 1-0 (9.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.