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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 56.19%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 21.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.76%) and 0-2 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.5%), while for a Queens Park Rangers win it was 2-1 (5.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Blackburn Rovers would win this match.
Result | ||
Queens Park Rangers | Draw | Blackburn Rovers |
21.42% ( 0.46) | 22.38% ( 0.19) | 56.19% ( -0.65) |
Both teams to score 55.9% ( 0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.77% ( -0.25) | 43.22% ( 0.25) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.37% ( -0.25) | 65.62% ( 0.25) |
Queens Park Rangers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.93% ( 0.3) | 34.06% ( -0.3) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.25% ( 0.32) | 70.75% ( -0.32) |
Blackburn Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.78% ( -0.3) | 15.21% ( 0.3) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.13% ( -0.57) | 43.86% ( 0.57) |
Score Analysis |
Queens Park Rangers | Draw | Blackburn Rovers |
2-1 @ 5.66% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 5.58% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 3.01% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 2.03% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 1.91% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 1.08% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.15% Total : 21.42% | 1-1 @ 10.5% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 5.33% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.18% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.38% | 1-2 @ 9.89% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 9.76% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 9.19% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 6.21% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 5.77% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 3.34% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 2.92% ( -0.07) 0-4 @ 2.71% ( -0.09) 2-4 @ 1.57% ( -0.02) 1-5 @ 1.1% ( -0.04) 0-5 @ 1.02% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.7% Total : 56.19% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 38 | 25 | 7 | 6 | 70 | 28 | 42 | 82 |
2 | Leicester CityLeicester | 37 | 26 | 4 | 7 | 74 | 33 | 41 | 82 |
3 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 38 | 24 | 9 | 5 | 80 | 49 | 31 | 81 |
4 | Southampton | 36 | 22 | 7 | 7 | 73 | 47 | 26 | 73 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 38 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 59 | 36 | 23 | 66 |
6 | Norwich CityNorwich | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 69 | 54 | 15 | 61 |
7 | Hull City | 37 | 16 | 10 | 11 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 58 |
8 | Coventry CityCoventry | 37 | 15 | 12 | 10 | 59 | 43 | 16 | 57 |
9 | Preston North EndPreston | 37 | 16 | 8 | 13 | 49 | 54 | -5 | 56 |
10 | Middlesbrough | 38 | 16 | 6 | 16 | 53 | 52 | 1 | 54 |
11 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 38 | 16 | 5 | 17 | 43 | 51 | -8 | 53 |
12 | Sunderland | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 48 |
13 | Watford | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 53 | 51 | 2 | 48 |
14 | Bristol City | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 47 |
15 | Swansea CitySwansea | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 48 | 58 | -10 | 46 |
16 | Millwall | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 43 |
17 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 51 | 64 | -13 | 42 |
18 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 54 | 62 | -8 | 41 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 35 | 53 | -18 | 41 |
20 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 40 |
21 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 42 | 59 | -17 | 39 |
22 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 38 | 8 | 15 | 15 | 42 | 61 | -19 | 39 |
23 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 38 | 11 | 5 | 22 | 30 | 61 | -31 | 38 |
24 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 38 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 30 | 77 | -47 | 20 |
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