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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 56.81%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 20.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.01%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.87%), while for a Queens Park Rangers win it was 0-1 (6%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Leeds United in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Leeds United.
Result | ||
Leeds United | Draw | Queens Park Rangers |
56.81% ( 2.94) | 22.91% ( -0.27) | 20.28% ( -2.67) |
Both teams to score 52.45% ( -2.88) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.02% ( -2) | 46.97% ( 2) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.78% ( -1.9) | 69.22% ( 1.9) |
Leeds United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.69% ( 0.32) | 16.31% ( -0.32) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.11% ( 0.57) | 45.89% ( -0.57) |
Queens Park Rangers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.67% ( -3.7) | 37.33% ( 3.7) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.88% ( -3.83) | 74.12% ( 3.83) |
Score Analysis |
Leeds United | Draw | Queens Park Rangers |
1-0 @ 11.04% ( 1.01) 2-0 @ 10.01% ( 1.01) 2-1 @ 9.86% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 6.05% ( 0.67) 3-1 @ 5.96% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 2.94% ( -0.26) 4-0 @ 2.74% ( 0.33) 4-1 @ 2.7% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 1.33% ( -0.1) 5-0 @ 1% ( 0.13) 5-1 @ 0.98% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.19% Total : 56.81% | 1-1 @ 10.87% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 6.09% ( 0.5) 2-2 @ 4.86% ( -0.48) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.2) Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.9% | 0-1 @ 6% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 5.36% ( -0.6) 0-2 @ 2.96% ( -0.36) 1-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.4) 2-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.35) 0-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.24) Other @ 1.63% Total : 20.28% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 38 | 25 | 7 | 6 | 70 | 28 | 42 | 82 |
2 | Leicester CityLeicester | 37 | 26 | 4 | 7 | 74 | 33 | 41 | 82 |
3 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 38 | 24 | 9 | 5 | 80 | 49 | 31 | 81 |
4 | Southampton | 36 | 22 | 7 | 7 | 73 | 47 | 26 | 73 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 38 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 59 | 36 | 23 | 66 |
6 | Norwich CityNorwich | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 69 | 54 | 15 | 61 |
7 | Hull City | 37 | 16 | 10 | 11 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 58 |
8 | Coventry CityCoventry | 37 | 15 | 12 | 10 | 59 | 43 | 16 | 57 |
9 | Preston North EndPreston | 37 | 16 | 8 | 13 | 49 | 54 | -5 | 56 |
10 | Middlesbrough | 38 | 16 | 6 | 16 | 53 | 52 | 1 | 54 |
11 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 38 | 16 | 5 | 17 | 43 | 51 | -8 | 53 |
12 | Sunderland | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 48 |
13 | Watford | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 53 | 51 | 2 | 48 |
14 | Bristol City | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 47 |
15 | Swansea CitySwansea | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 48 | 58 | -10 | 46 |
16 | Millwall | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 43 |
17 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 51 | 64 | -13 | 42 |
18 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 54 | 62 | -8 | 41 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 35 | 53 | -18 | 41 |
20 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 40 |
21 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 42 | 59 | -17 | 39 |
22 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 38 | 8 | 15 | 15 | 42 | 61 | -19 | 39 |
23 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 38 | 11 | 5 | 22 | 30 | 61 | -31 | 38 |
24 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 38 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 30 | 77 | -47 | 20 |
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