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Serie A | Gameweek 8
Oct 7, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris
Milan logo

Genoa
0 - 1
AC Milan


Gilardino (10+10'), De Winter (69'), Martinez (86')
Martinez (90+13')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Pulisic (87')
Hernandez (21'), Florenzi (22'), Musah (47'), Adli (62'), Tomori (90+9')
Maignan (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Genoa and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Udinese 2-2 Genoa
Sunday, October 1 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Dortmund 0-0 AC Milan
Wednesday, October 4 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Genoa 1-2 AC Milan

Milan may have just two goals to show from their last seven Champions League fixtures, but their front line have proven capable of finding the net regularly in Serie A. Continuing a fine record at Marassi, the second-city side can leave Liguria with all three points on Saturday evening. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 39.44%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 34.7% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.56%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest Genoa win was 1-0 (8.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for AC Milan in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for AC Milan.

Result
GenoaDrawAC Milan
34.7% (-0.614 -0.61) 25.86% (0.028000000000002 0.03) 39.44% (0.59 0.59)
Both teams to score 54.53% (-0.19 -0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.29% (-0.203 -0.2)49.71% (0.207 0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.27% (-0.182 -0.18)71.72% (0.187 0.19)
Genoa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.51% (-0.467 -0.47)27.49% (0.469 0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.01% (-0.608 -0.61)62.98% (0.611 0.61)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.2% (0.22199999999999 0.22)24.8% (-0.218 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.62% (0.308 0.31)59.38% (-0.304 -0.3)
Score Analysis
    Genoa 34.7%
    AC Milan 39.44%
    Draw 25.85%
GenoaDrawAC Milan
1-0 @ 8.8% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-1 @ 7.93% (-0.093 -0.09)
2-0 @ 5.69% (-0.103 -0.1)
3-1 @ 3.41% (-0.087 -0.09)
3-0 @ 2.45% (-0.078 -0.08)
3-2 @ 2.38% (-0.045 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.1% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 34.7%
1-1 @ 12.27% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.82% (0.057 0.06)
2-2 @ 5.53% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.11% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.85%
0-1 @ 9.5% (0.139 0.14)
1-2 @ 8.56% (0.067 0.07)
0-2 @ 6.63% (0.138 0.14)
1-3 @ 3.98% (0.056 0.06)
0-3 @ 3.08% (0.084 0.08)
2-3 @ 2.57% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-4 @ 1.39% (0.028 0.03)
0-4 @ 1.07% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 39.44%

How you voted: Genoa vs AC Milan

Genoa
16.9%
Draw
8.5%
AC Milan
74.6%
71
Head to Head
Apr 15, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 33
AC Milan
2-0
Genoa
Leao (11'), Messias (87')
Tonali (84')

Yeboah (79'), Gudmundsson (90+4')
Jan 13, 2022 8pm
Final
AC Milan
3-1
Genoa
Giroud (74'), Leao (102'), Saelemaekers (112')
Tonali (42'), Saelemaekers (115')
Skiri Oestigaard (17')
Badelj (37'), Yeboah (47'), Skiri Oestigaard (53'), Hefti (64')
Dec 1, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Genoa
0-3
AC Milan

Masiello (67'), Rovella (73')
Ibrahimovic (10'), Messias (45+2', 61')
Gabbia (32')
Apr 18, 2021 11.30am
Gameweek 31
AC Milan
2-1
Genoa
Rebic (13'), Scamacca (68' og.)
Destro (37')
Goldaniga (26')
Dec 16, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 12
Genoa
2-2
AC Milan
Destro (47', 60')
Pellegrini (18'), Radovanovic (87')
Calabria (52'), Kalulu (83')
Romagnoli (25'), Castillejo (54'), Leao (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter Milan29244171145776
2AC Milan29195555332262
3Juventus29178444232159
4Bologna29159542251754
5Roma29156855352051
6Atalanta BCAtalanta28145951321947
7Napoli29129844331145
8Fiorentina2812794132943
9Lazio29134123633343
10Monza2911993236-442
11Torino29101182826241
12Genoa29810113136-534
13Lecce29610132645-1928
14Udinese29415102844-1627
15Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2968152639-1326
16CagliariCagliari2968152950-2126
17Empoli2967162243-2125
18FrosinoneFrosinone2966173760-2324
19SassuoloSassuolo2965183356-2323
20Salernitana2928192359-3614


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