Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 65.12%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 14.27%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.12%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.8%), while for a Hellas Verona win it was 0-1 (4.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for AC Milan in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for AC Milan.
Result | ||
AC Milan | Draw | Hellas Verona |
65.12% ( -0.28) | 20.61% ( 0.11) | 14.27% ( 0.18) |
Both teams to score 47.63% ( 0.13) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.83% ( -0.08) | 47.17% ( 0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.6% ( -0.07) | 69.4% ( 0.08) |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.3% ( -0.11) | 13.7% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.07% ( -0.22) | 40.93% ( 0.23) |
Hellas Verona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.19% ( 0.22) | 44.81% ( -0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.22% ( 0.17) | 80.78% ( -0.17) |
Score Analysis |
AC Milan | Draw | Hellas Verona |
1-0 @ 12.2% 2-0 @ 12.12% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 9.74% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 8.04% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 6.45% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 3.99% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 3.21% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.59% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.59% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.29% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.28% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.63% Total : 65.11% | 1-1 @ 9.8% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.14% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 3.91% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.77% Total : 20.61% | 0-1 @ 4.93% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 3.93% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 1.98% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.33% Total : 14.27% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter Milan | 29 | 24 | 4 | 1 | 71 | 14 | 57 | 76 |
2 | AC Milan | 29 | 19 | 5 | 5 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 62 |
3 | Juventus | 29 | 17 | 8 | 4 | 44 | 23 | 21 | 59 |
4 | Bologna | 29 | 15 | 9 | 5 | 42 | 25 | 17 | 54 |
5 | Roma | 29 | 15 | 6 | 8 | 55 | 35 | 20 | 51 |
6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 28 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 51 | 32 | 19 | 47 |
7 | Napoli | 29 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 44 | 33 | 11 | 45 |
8 | Fiorentina | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 41 | 32 | 9 | 43 |
9 | Lazio | 29 | 13 | 4 | 12 | 36 | 33 | 3 | 43 |
10 | Monza | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 42 |
11 | Torino | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 41 |
12 | Genoa | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 31 | 36 | -5 | 34 |
13 | Lecce | 29 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 26 | 45 | -19 | 28 |
14 | Udinese | 29 | 4 | 15 | 10 | 28 | 44 | -16 | 27 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 26 | 39 | -13 | 26 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 26 |
17 | Empoli | 29 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 22 | 43 | -21 | 25 |
18 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 29 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 24 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 29 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 33 | 56 | -23 | 23 |
20 | Salernitana | 29 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 23 | 59 | -36 | 14 |
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