Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ural Yekaterinburg win with a probability of 46.25%. A win for Khimki had a probability of 27.26% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ural Yekaterinburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (8.69%). The likeliest Khimki win was 0-1 (8.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ural Yekaterinburg would win this match.