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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 59.54%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Preston North End had a probability of 19.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.33%) and 1-0 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.82%), while for a Preston North End win it was 1-2 (5.23%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Ipswich Town | Draw | Preston North End |
59.54% ( -0.17) | 21.12% ( 0.03) | 19.34% ( 0.14) |
Both teams to score 56.87% ( 0.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.64% ( 0.08) | 40.36% ( -0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.26% ( 0.08) | 62.74% ( -0.08) |
Ipswich Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.78% ( -0.02) | 13.22% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.04% ( -0.05) | 39.96% ( 0.05) |
Preston North End Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.52% ( 0.19) | 34.47% ( -0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.81% ( 0.2) | 71.19% ( -0.2) |
Score Analysis |
Ipswich Town | Draw | Preston North End |
2-1 @ 9.94% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.33% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 9.22% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 6.7% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 6.29% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.57% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.39% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 3.18% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.81% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.37% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.29% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.44% Total : 59.54% | 1-1 @ 9.82% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.29% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 4.56% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.19% Total : 21.12% | 1-2 @ 5.23% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 4.85% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.58% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.88% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.86% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.03% Total : 19.34% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 38 | 25 | 7 | 6 | 70 | 28 | 42 | 82 |
2 | Leicester CityLeicester | 37 | 26 | 4 | 7 | 74 | 33 | 41 | 82 |
3 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 38 | 24 | 9 | 5 | 80 | 49 | 31 | 81 |
4 | Southampton | 36 | 22 | 7 | 7 | 73 | 47 | 26 | 73 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 38 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 59 | 36 | 23 | 66 |
6 | Norwich CityNorwich | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 69 | 54 | 15 | 61 |
7 | Hull City | 37 | 16 | 10 | 11 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 58 |
8 | Coventry CityCoventry | 37 | 15 | 12 | 10 | 59 | 43 | 16 | 57 |
9 | Preston North EndPreston | 37 | 16 | 8 | 13 | 49 | 54 | -5 | 56 |
10 | Middlesbrough | 38 | 16 | 6 | 16 | 53 | 52 | 1 | 54 |
11 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 38 | 16 | 5 | 17 | 43 | 51 | -8 | 53 |
12 | Sunderland | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 48 |
13 | Watford | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 53 | 51 | 2 | 48 |
14 | Bristol City | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 47 |
15 | Swansea CitySwansea | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 48 | 58 | -10 | 46 |
16 | Millwall | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 43 |
17 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 51 | 64 | -13 | 42 |
18 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 54 | 62 | -8 | 41 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 35 | 53 | -18 | 41 |
20 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 40 |
21 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 42 | 59 | -17 | 39 |
22 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 38 | 8 | 15 | 15 | 42 | 61 | -19 | 39 |
23 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 38 | 11 | 5 | 22 | 30 | 61 | -31 | 38 |
24 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 38 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 30 | 77 | -47 | 20 |
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