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Championship | Gameweek 11
Oct 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
Portman Road Stadium
Preston North End logo

Ipswich
4 - 2
Preston

Chaplin (18'), Williams (35'), Broadhead (45+1'), Jackson (78')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Frokjaer-Jensen (27'), Whiteman (52')
Ledson (8'), Lindsay (22'), Browne (31')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Ipswich Town and Preston North End, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ipswich 3-0 Hull City
Tuesday, October 3 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Leicester 3-0 Preston
Wednesday, October 4 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Ipswich Town 2-0 Preston North End

Despite occupying lofty heights this season, Preston travel to Ipswich with damage limitation in mind. That means that they would be delighted with a point, yet Ipswich are playing with such confidence that they should be able to post a hard-earned win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 59.54%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Preston North End had a probability of 19.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.33%) and 1-0 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.82%), while for a Preston North End win it was 1-2 (5.23%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.

Result
Ipswich TownDrawPreston North End
59.54% (-0.169 -0.17) 21.12% (0.031000000000002 0.03) 19.34% (0.141 0.14)
Both teams to score 56.87% (0.149 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.64% (0.079000000000001 0.08)40.36% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.26% (0.079000000000001 0.08)62.74% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
Ipswich Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.78% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)13.22% (0.026 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.04% (-0.050000000000004 -0.05)39.96% (0.053000000000004 0.05)
Preston North End Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.52% (0.19 0.19)34.47% (-0.188 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.81% (0.204 0.2)71.19% (-0.2 -0.2)
Score Analysis
    Ipswich Town 59.54%
    Preston North End 19.34%
    Draw 21.12%
Ipswich TownDrawPreston North End
2-1 @ 9.94% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 9.33% (-0.051 -0.05)
1-0 @ 9.22% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
3-1 @ 6.7% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.29% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.57% (0.014 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.39% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 3.18% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.81% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.37% (-0.004 -0)
5-0 @ 1.29% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 59.54%
1-1 @ 9.82% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.29% (0.026000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 4.56% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.27% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 21.12%
1-2 @ 5.23% (0.031 0.03)
0-1 @ 4.85% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.58% (0.018 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.88% (0.018 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.86% (0.02 0.02)
0-3 @ 0.92% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 19.34%

How you voted: Ipswich vs Preston

Ipswich Town
73.7%
Draw
21.1%
Preston North End
5.3%
19
Head to Head
Jul 19, 2023 7pm
Apr 19, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 43
Preston
4-0
Ipswich
Robinson (6', 22'), Nmecha (56', 75')

Kenlock (78')
Nov 3, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 16
Ipswich
1-1
Preston
Sears (45' pen.)
Chambers (36'), Edwards (51'), Roberts (62'), Pennington (90')
Gallagher (73')
Maxwell (44'), Johnson (45'), Pearson (57')
Maxwell (75')
Feb 24, 2018 3pm
Preston
0-1
Ipswich

Davies (45')
Carayol (21')
Skuse (45'), Garner (49'), Waghorn (83')
Nov 4, 2017 3pm
Ipswich
3-0
Preston
Waghorn (45'), McGoldrick (49'), Celina (64')
McGoldrick (25')

Hugill (23'), Welsh (45'), Pearson (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds38257670284282
2Leicester CityLeicester37264774334182
3Ipswich TownIpswich38249580493181
4Southampton36227773472673
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom381991059362366
6Norwich CityNorwich381871369541561
7Hull City371610115346758
8Coventry CityCoventry3715121059431657
9Preston North EndPreston37168134954-556
10Middlesbrough38166165352154
11Cardiff CityCardiff38165174351-853
12Sunderland38146184845348
13Watford381212145351248
14Bristol City38138174245-347
15Swansea CitySwansea381210164858-1046
16Millwall381110173650-1443
17Blackburn RoversBlackburn38119185164-1342
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth381011175462-841
19Stoke CityStoke38118193553-1841
20Queens Park RangersQPR381010183650-1440
21Birmingham CityBirmingham38109194259-1739
22Huddersfield TownHuddersfield38815154261-1939
23Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds38115223061-3138
24Rotherham UnitedRotherham38311243077-4720


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