Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lokomotiv Moscow win with a probability of 46.8%. A win for Ural Yekaterinburg had a probability of 27.73% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lokomotiv Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.26%) and 0-2 (8.3%). The likeliest Ural Yekaterinburg win was 1-0 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
