MX23RW : Saturday, May 6 20:10:14| >> :600:204468:204468:
Torquay United
FA Cup | First Round
Nov 6, 2022 at 3pm UK
Plainmoor Ground
Derby logo
Torquay Utd
2 - 2
Derby
Hall (56' pen.), Goodwin (90+5')
Ellis (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Osula (27', 47')
Sibley (14')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's FA Cup clash between Torquay United and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Torquay Utd 6-1 Aldershot
Tuesday, November 1 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Morecambe 1-1 Derby
Tuesday, November 1 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Torquay United 1-4 Derby County

While Derby have generally been poor in front of goal this season, that could change on Sunday. There will be times when Torquay will rally and play without pressure, but the Rams should ease to victory on the South coast. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 61.7%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Torquay United had a probability of 17.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.81%) and 0-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.61%), while for a Torquay United win it was 2-1 (4.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.

Result
Torquay UnitedDrawDerby County
17.72% (1.155 1.16) 20.58% (0.645 0.65) 61.7% (-1.797 -1.8)
Both teams to score 55.66% (0.21299999999999 0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.51% (-0.9 -0.9)40.49% (0.903 0.9)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.13% (-0.934 -0.93)62.87% (0.937 0.94)
Torquay United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.7% (0.804 0.8)36.3% (-0.801 -0.8)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.91% (0.804 0.8)73.08% (-0.79899999999999 -0.8)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.37% (-0.77500000000001 -0.78)12.63% (0.778 0.78)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.24% (-1.631 -1.63)38.76% (1.634 1.63)
Score Analysis
    Torquay United 17.72%
    Derby County 61.7%
    Draw 20.58%
Torquay UnitedDrawDerby County
2-1 @ 4.87% (0.262 0.26)
1-0 @ 4.65% (0.286 0.29)
2-0 @ 2.35% (0.193 0.19)
3-2 @ 1.7% (0.077 0.08)
3-1 @ 1.65% (0.121 0.12)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 17.72%
1-1 @ 9.61% (0.315 0.32)
2-2 @ 5.04% (0.123 0.12)
0-0 @ 4.58% (0.187 0.19)
3-3 @ 1.17% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 20.58%
1-2 @ 9.95% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-2 @ 9.81% (-0.186 -0.19)
0-1 @ 9.48% (0.108 0.11)
1-3 @ 6.86% (-0.189 -0.19)
0-3 @ 6.77% (-0.34 -0.34)
1-4 @ 3.55% (-0.21 -0.21)
0-4 @ 3.5% (-0.289 -0.29)
2-3 @ 3.48% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.8% (-0.066 -0.07)
1-5 @ 1.47% (-0.135 -0.14)
0-5 @ 1.45% (-0.168 -0.17)
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 61.7%

How you voted: Torquay Utd vs Derby

Torquay United
25.9%
Draw
3.7%
Derby County
70.4%
27
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables
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1Manchester CityMan City34264489315882
2Arsenal34246481394278
3Newcastle UnitedNewcastle331811461273465
4Manchester UnitedMan Utd3319684940963
5Liverpool35188967422562
6Tottenham HotspurSpurs35176126457757
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton32167962402255
8Aston Villa35166134643354
9Brentford35121495245750
10Fulham34136154546-145
11Chelsea34119143439-542
12Crystal Palace351010153546-1140
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves35117173050-2040
14Bournemouth35116183767-3039
15West Ham UnitedWest Ham3497183750-1334
16Leicester CityLeicester3486204659-1330
17Leeds UnitedLeeds3579194469-2530
18Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3479183062-3230
19Everton34611172752-2529
20Southampton3466222860-3224

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