Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torquay United win with a probability of 38.33%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 36.72% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torquay United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.27%) and 2-0 (5.99%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 1-2 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Torquay United would win this match.
Result | ||
Torquay United | Draw | Aldershot Town |
38.33% ( -1.62) | 24.95% ( -0.14) | 36.72% ( 1.76) |
Both teams to score 57.94% ( 0.73) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.58% ( 0.85) | 45.41% ( -0.84) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.25% ( 0.8) | 67.75% ( -0.8) |
Torquay United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.55% ( -0.45) | 23.45% ( 0.45) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.54% ( -0.66) | 57.46% ( 0.66) |
Aldershot Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.69% ( 1.38) | 24.31% ( -1.38) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.31% ( 1.92) | 58.68% ( -1.92) |
Score Analysis |
Torquay United | Draw | Aldershot Town |
2-1 @ 8.48% ( -0.19) 1-0 @ 8.27% ( -0.42) 2-0 @ 5.99% ( -0.39) 3-1 @ 4.1% ( -0.15) 3-2 @ 2.9% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.9% ( -0.23) 4-1 @ 1.49% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 1.05% ( -0.1) 4-2 @ 1.05% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.11% Total : 38.33% | 1-1 @ 11.69% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 6% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 5.7% ( -0.21) 3-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.94% | 1-2 @ 8.27% ( 0.25) 0-1 @ 8.06% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 5.7% ( 0.24) 1-3 @ 3.9% ( 0.27) 2-3 @ 2.83% ( 0.16) 0-3 @ 2.69% ( 0.22) 1-4 @ 1.38% ( 0.15) 2-4 @ 1% ( 0.09) 0-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.11) Other @ 1.95% Total : 36.72% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wrexham | 35 | 26 | 7 | 2 | 90 | 34 | 56 | 85 |
2 | Notts County | 36 | 25 | 9 | 2 | 90 | 33 | 57 | 84 |
3 | Woking | 35 | 19 | 8 | 8 | 60 | 37 | 23 | 65 |
4 | Barnet | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 65 | 57 | 8 | 59 |
5 | Chesterfield | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 57 | 42 | 15 | 58 |
6 | Eastleigh | 35 | 17 | 6 | 12 | 43 | 37 | 6 | 57 |
7 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 42 | 30 | 12 | 55 |
8 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 33 | 15 | 8 | 10 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 53 |
9 | Bromley | 35 | 13 | 13 | 9 | 50 | 42 | 8 | 52 |
10 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 35 | 15 | 6 | 14 | 53 | 56 | -3 | 51 |
11 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 44 | 49 | -5 | 49 |
12 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 35 | 12 | 10 | 13 | 54 | 63 | -9 | 46 |
13 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 35 | 12 | 9 | 14 | 50 | 50 | 0 | 45 |
14 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 35 | 12 | 7 | 16 | 40 | 48 | -8 | 43 |
15 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 46 | 51 | -5 | 41 |
16 | Halifax TownHalifax | 35 | 11 | 8 | 16 | 34 | 42 | -8 | 41 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 36 | 11 | 6 | 19 | 49 | 61 | -12 | 39 |
18 | York City | 35 | 9 | 9 | 17 | 40 | 47 | -7 | 36 |
19 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 48 | 77 | -29 | 34 |
20 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 33 | 6 | 15 | 12 | 28 | 38 | -10 | 33 |
21 | Gateshead | 33 | 7 | 12 | 14 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 33 |
22 | Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 39 | 61 | -22 | 30 |
23 | Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe | 35 | 6 | 9 | 20 | 39 | 67 | -28 | 27 |
24 | Maidstone UnitedMaidstone | 36 | 5 | 9 | 22 | 38 | 77 | -39 | 24 |
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