Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torquay United win with a probability of 37.93%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 35.83% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torquay United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.33%) and 0-2 (6.46%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 1-0 (9.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Torquay United would win this match.
Result | ||
Aldershot Town | Draw | Torquay United |
35.83% | 26.24% | 37.93% |
Both teams to score 53.4% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.78% | 51.22% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.94% | 73.06% |
Aldershot Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.47% | 27.53% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.96% | 63.04% |
Torquay United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.68% | 26.32% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.55% | 61.45% |
Score Analysis |
Aldershot Town | Draw | Torquay United |
1-0 @ 9.35% 2-1 @ 8.05% 2-0 @ 6.03% 3-1 @ 3.46% 3-0 @ 2.59% 3-2 @ 2.31% 4-1 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.93% Total : 35.83% | 1-1 @ 12.47% 0-0 @ 7.25% 2-2 @ 5.37% 3-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.23% | 0-1 @ 9.67% 1-2 @ 8.33% 0-2 @ 6.46% 1-3 @ 3.71% 0-3 @ 2.87% 2-3 @ 2.39% 1-4 @ 1.24% 0-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.31% Total : 37.93% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wrexham | 35 | 26 | 7 | 2 | 90 | 34 | 56 | 85 |
2 | Notts County | 36 | 25 | 9 | 2 | 90 | 33 | 57 | 84 |
3 | Woking | 35 | 19 | 8 | 8 | 60 | 37 | 23 | 65 |
4 | Barnet | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 65 | 57 | 8 | 59 |
5 | Chesterfield | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 57 | 42 | 15 | 58 |
6 | Eastleigh | 35 | 17 | 6 | 12 | 43 | 37 | 6 | 57 |
7 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 42 | 30 | 12 | 55 |
8 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 33 | 15 | 8 | 10 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 53 |
9 | Bromley | 35 | 13 | 13 | 9 | 50 | 42 | 8 | 52 |
10 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 35 | 15 | 6 | 14 | 53 | 56 | -3 | 51 |
11 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 44 | 49 | -5 | 49 |
12 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 35 | 12 | 10 | 13 | 54 | 63 | -9 | 46 |
13 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 35 | 12 | 9 | 14 | 50 | 50 | 0 | 45 |
14 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 35 | 12 | 7 | 16 | 40 | 48 | -8 | 43 |
15 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 46 | 51 | -5 | 41 |
16 | Halifax TownHalifax | 35 | 11 | 8 | 16 | 34 | 42 | -8 | 41 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 36 | 11 | 6 | 19 | 49 | 61 | -12 | 39 |
18 | York City | 35 | 9 | 9 | 17 | 40 | 47 | -7 | 36 |
19 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 48 | 77 | -29 | 34 |
20 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 33 | 6 | 15 | 12 | 28 | 38 | -10 | 33 |
21 | Gateshead | 33 | 7 | 12 | 14 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 33 |
22 | Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 39 | 61 | -22 | 30 |
23 | Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe | 35 | 6 | 9 | 20 | 39 | 67 | -28 | 27 |
24 | Maidstone UnitedMaidstone | 36 | 5 | 9 | 22 | 38 | 77 | -39 | 24 |
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