Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torquay United win with a probability of 50.48%. A win for Chesterfield had a probability of 26.28% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torquay United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.77%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Chesterfield win was 1-2 (6.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Torquay United in this match.
