Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torquay United win with a probability of 45.38%. A win for Altrincham had a probability of 30.12% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torquay United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Altrincham win was 1-2 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Torquay United | Draw | Altrincham |
45.38% ( 0.02) | 24.5% ( 0) | 30.12% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 57.43% ( -0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.81% ( -0.04) | 45.19% ( 0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.46% ( -0.04) | 67.54% ( 0.04) |
Torquay United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.97% ( -0.01) | 20.03% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.77% ( -0.01) | 52.23% ( 0.01) |
Altrincham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.81% ( -0.04) | 28.19% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.11% ( -0.05) | 63.89% ( 0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Torquay United | Draw | Altrincham |
2-1 @ 9.24% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.08% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.3% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.96% 3-0 @ 3.91% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.14% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.99% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.57% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.26% ( -0) Other @ 2.93% Total : 45.38% | 1-1 @ 11.49% 2-2 @ 5.85% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.65% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.32% ( -0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.49% | 1-2 @ 7.28% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.15% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.53% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.07% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.47% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.91% ( -0) 1-4 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 2.75% Total : 30.12% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wrexham | 45 | 34 | 8 | 3 | 115 | 42 | 73 | 110 |
2 | Notts County | 45 | 32 | 10 | 3 | 116 | 41 | 75 | 106 |
3 | Chesterfield | 45 | 24 | 9 | 12 | 77 | 52 | 25 | 81 |
4 | Woking | 44 | 23 | 10 | 11 | 70 | 47 | 23 | 79 |
5 | Barnet | 45 | 21 | 11 | 13 | 75 | 65 | 10 | 74 |
6 | Bromley | 45 | 18 | 16 | 11 | 67 | 52 | 15 | 70 |
7 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 44 | 18 | 15 | 11 | 51 | 38 | 13 | 69 |
8 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 45 | 19 | 9 | 17 | 55 | 44 | 11 | 66 |
9 | Eastleigh | 45 | 19 | 9 | 17 | 55 | 56 | -1 | 66 |
10 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 45 | 16 | 12 | 17 | 62 | 63 | -1 | 60 |
11 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 45 | 17 | 9 | 19 | 59 | 72 | -13 | 60 |
12 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 44 | 15 | 13 | 16 | 62 | 62 | 0 | 58 |
13 | Halifax TownHalifax | 44 | 15 | 12 | 17 | 47 | 47 | 0 | 57 |
14 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 44 | 15 | 12 | 17 | 53 | 70 | -17 | 57 |
15 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 45 | 14 | 13 | 18 | 67 | 81 | -14 | 55 |
16 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 45 | 15 | 9 | 21 | 65 | 90 | -25 | 54 |
17 | Gateshead | 44 | 13 | 15 | 16 | 61 | 62 | -1 | 53 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 45 | 14 | 10 | 21 | 63 | 75 | -12 | 52 |
19 | York City | 45 | 13 | 11 | 21 | 54 | 62 | -8 | 50 |
20 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 45 | 13 | 11 | 21 | 47 | 62 | -15 | 50 |
21 | Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd | 45 | 12 | 11 | 22 | 57 | 79 | -22 | 47 |
R | Yeovil TownYeovil | 45 | 7 | 19 | 19 | 35 | 59 | -24 | 40 |
R | Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe | 45 | 8 | 10 | 27 | 48 | 85 | -37 | 34 |
R | Maidstone UnitedMaidstone | 45 | 5 | 10 | 30 | 45 | 100 | -55 | 25 |
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