Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 68.61%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 11.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.87%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.22%), while for a Mallorca win it was 0-1 (4.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Villarreal | Draw | Mallorca |
68.61% ( -0.25) | 19.48% ( 0.11) | 11.91% ( 0.14) |
Both teams to score 44.58% ( 0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.33% ( -0.12) | 47.66% ( 0.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.14% ( -0.11) | 69.86% ( 0.11) |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.17% ( -0.11) | 12.82% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.84% ( -0.22) | 39.16% ( 0.22) |
Mallorca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
51.14% ( 0.17) | 48.86% ( -0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
16.14% ( 0.12) | 83.85% ( -0.12) |
Score Analysis |
Villarreal | Draw | Mallorca |
2-0 @ 13.21% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 12.87% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.47% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 9.05% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 6.48% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 4.65% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 3.33% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.32% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.91% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 1.37% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.19% ( -0) Other @ 2.77% Total : 68.6% | 1-1 @ 9.22% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.27% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 3.39% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.61% Total : 19.48% | 0-1 @ 4.49% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 3.3% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 1.61% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.52% Total : 11.91% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Barcelona | 37 | 28 | 4 | 5 | 69 | 18 | 51 | 88 |
2 | Real Madrid | 37 | 24 | 5 | 8 | 74 | 35 | 39 | 77 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 37 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 31 | 37 | 76 |
4 | Real Sociedad | 37 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 49 | 34 | 15 | 68 |
5 | Villarreal | 37 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 57 | 38 | 19 | 63 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 37 | 17 | 8 | 12 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 59 |
7 | Osasuna | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 50 |
8 | Athletic Bilbao | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 50 |
9 | GironaGirona | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 57 | 53 | 4 | 49 |
10 | Rayo Vallecano | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 45 | 50 | -5 | 49 |
11 | Sevilla | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 49 |
12 | Mallorca | 37 | 13 | 8 | 16 | 34 | 43 | -9 | 47 |
13 | Valencia | 37 | 11 | 8 | 18 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 41 |
14 | CadizCadiz | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 29 | 52 | -23 | 41 |
15 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 41 |
16 | Almeria | 37 | 11 | 7 | 19 | 46 | 62 | -16 | 40 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 40 |
18 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 37 | 11 | 6 | 20 | 33 | 63 | -30 | 39 |
R | Espanyol | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 49 | 66 | -17 | 36 |
R | ElcheElche | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 29 | 66 | -37 | 24 |
> La Liga Full Table |