Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 73.9%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 10.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.35%) and 1-2 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.4%), while for a Lorient win it was 2-1 (3.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
Result | ||
Lorient | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
10.28% ( 0.28) | 15.82% ( 0.24) | 73.9% ( -0.52) |
Both teams to score 51.7% ( 0.23) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.71% ( -0.27) | 35.28% ( 0.26) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.69% ( -0.3) | 57.3% ( 0.29) |
Lorient Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.3% ( 0.36) | 43.69% ( -0.36) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.12% ( 0.3) | 79.87% ( -0.3) |
Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.83% ( -0.17) | 8.17% ( 0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
71.37% ( -0.44) | 28.62% ( 0.44) |
Score Analysis |
Lorient | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
2-1 @ 3.06% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 2.95% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 1.22% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.98% Total : 10.28% | 1-1 @ 7.4% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 3.84% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 3.57% ( 0.05) Other @ 1.01% Total : 15.82% | 0-2 @ 11.19% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 9.35% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 9.27% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 8.94% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 7.74% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 5.86% ( -0.12) 1-4 @ 4.85% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 3.2% ( 0.02) 0-5 @ 2.93% ( -0.09) 1-5 @ 2.43% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 2.01% ( -0) 0-6 @ 1.23% ( -0.05) 1-6 @ 1.01% ( -0.03) 2-5 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.88% Total : 73.9% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 37 | 27 | 4 | 6 | 87 | 37 | 50 | 85 |
2 | Lens | 37 | 24 | 9 | 4 | 65 | 28 | 37 | 81 |
3 | Marseille | 37 | 22 | 7 | 8 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 73 |
4 | Lille | 37 | 19 | 9 | 9 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 66 |
5 | Rennes | 37 | 20 | 5 | 12 | 67 | 38 | 29 | 65 |
6 | MonacoMonaco | 37 | 19 | 8 | 10 | 69 | 56 | 13 | 65 |
7 | Lyon | 37 | 18 | 8 | 11 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 62 |
8 | Clermont | 37 | 16 | 8 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 56 |
9 | Nice | 37 | 14 | 13 | 10 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 55 |
10 | Lorient | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 50 | 52 | -2 | 52 |
11 | Reims | 37 | 12 | 15 | 10 | 44 | 42 | 2 | 51 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 37 | 14 | 5 | 18 | 62 | 61 | 1 | 47 |
13 | Toulouse | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 49 | 56 | -7 | 45 |
14 | Brest | 37 | 11 | 11 | 15 | 43 | 52 | -9 | 44 |
15 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 37 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 50 | 57 | -7 | 40 |
16 | Auxerre | 37 | 8 | 11 | 18 | 34 | 60 | -26 | 35 |
17 | NantesNantes | 37 | 6 | 15 | 16 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 33 |
R | Troyes | 37 | 4 | 11 | 22 | 44 | 80 | -36 | 23 |
R | Ajaccio | 37 | 6 | 5 | 26 | 22 | 74 | -52 | 23 |
R | Angers | 37 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 33 | 80 | -47 | 18 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |