Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malaga win with a probability of 40.32%. A win for Sporting Gijon had a probability of 30.73% and a draw had a probability of 29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malaga win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.96%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Sporting Gijon win was 0-1 (11.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.