Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Gijon win with a probability of 38.17%. A draw had a probability of 31.4% and a win for Malaga had a probability of 30.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Gijon win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.82%) and 2-1 (6.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.5%), while for a Malaga win it was 0-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Gijon would win this match.
