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Port Vale
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Nov 12, 2022 at 3pm UK at The Kassam Stadium
Oxford Utd
4 - 0
Port Vale
Bodin (10', 62'), Taylor (27', 66')
Henry (44')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Robinson (35'), Conlon (39'), Harrison (87')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Oxford United and Port Vale, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Oxford United 0-1 Port Vale

Port Vale have won or drawn four of the last five matches they have played away from home, while Oxford have lost four of the last five fixtures they have hosted at the Kassam Stadium. The Valiants have also scored in each of their last eight games in all competitions, so we think they will have enough to edge this contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 48.22%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 26.82% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.42%) and 2-0 (8.42%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 0-1 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawPort Vale
48.22% (-0.125 -0.13) 24.97% (0.016999999999999 0.02) 26.82% (0.108 0.11)
Both teams to score 53.56% (0.032000000000004 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.79%49.21%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.73%71.27%
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.56% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)20.44% (0.052 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.11% (-0.086999999999996 -0.09)52.89% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.32% (0.084999999999994 0.08)32.68% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.78% (0.094999999999999 0.09)69.23% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 48.21%
    Port Vale 26.82%
    Draw 24.97%
Oxford UnitedDrawPort Vale
1-0 @ 10.6% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.42% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.42% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.98% (-0.013000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.46% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.79% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.98% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.77% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.11% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 48.21%
1-1 @ 11.86% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.68%
2-2 @ 5.27% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.04% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.97%
0-1 @ 7.47% (0.018 0.02)
1-2 @ 6.63% (0.02 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.18% (0.019 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.47% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.96% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.56% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 26.82%

How you voted: Oxford Utd vs Port Vale

Oxford United
42.9%
Draw
14.3%
Port Vale
42.9%
7
Head to Head
Nov 3, 2017 7.45pm
Port Vale
2-0
Oxford Utd
Gunning (16'), Pope (53')
Myers-Harness (10'), Denton (36')

Thomas (42'), Martin (89')
Apr 17, 2017 3pm
Oct 22, 2016 3pm
Port Vale
2-2
Oxford Utd
Cicilia (54'), Taylor (59' pen.)
Mac-Intosch (26')
Dunkley (11'), Crowley (19')
Nelson (58'), Dunkley (65')
Mar 2, 2013 3pm
Oxford Utd
2-1
Port Vale
Smalley (76'), Potter (10')
Batt (42'), Parker (54'), Capaldi (90')
Loft (16')
Jones (54'), Myrie-Williams (81'), Loft (85')
Oct 15, 2012 7.45pm
Port Vale
3-0
Oxford Utd
Morsy (61'), Vincent (51'), Pope (30')
Burge (32'), Morsy (57')

Wright (90')
rhs 2.0
Todays Game Header Right
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds412412571323984
2Plymouth ArgylePlymouth40258770442683
3Ipswich TownIpswich402313479324782
4Barnsley402461069373278
5Peterborough UnitedPeterborough412241571482370
6Bolton WanderersBolton4019111054322268
7Derby CountyDerby4119111162422068
8Wycombe WanderersWycombe411981455421365
9Portsmouth4116151055451063
10Charlton AthleticCharlton411413146253955
11Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury40167174852-455
12Exeter CityExeter411411165955453
13Lincoln CityLincoln401119103941-252
14Bristol Rovers39149165361-851
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood411214154545050
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham411210193552-1746
17Port Vale411210194060-2046
18Burton Albion39129185174-2345
19MK Dons41119213858-2042
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd40913184050-1040
21Accrington StanleyAccrington40911203366-3338
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge40107233361-2837
23Morecambe42714213871-3335
24Forest Green RoversForest Green4168272976-4726

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