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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 44.71%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 29.14% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.01%) and 0-2 (8.06%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 (8.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Oxford United |
29.14% ( -0.04) | 26.14% ( 0.01) | 44.71% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 51.53% ( -0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.36% ( -0.06) | 52.63% ( 0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.72% ( -0.05) | 74.28% ( 0.05) |
Shrewsbury Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.31% ( -0.06) | 32.69% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.76% ( -0.07) | 69.24% ( 0.07) |
Oxford United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.55% ( -0.02) | 23.45% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.54% ( -0.02) | 57.46% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Oxford United |
1-0 @ 8.57% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.95% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 4.79% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.59% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.88% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.79% ( -0) Other @ 2.58% Total : 29.14% | 1-1 @ 12.43% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.66% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.04% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.14% | 0-1 @ 11.11% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 9.01% 0-2 @ 8.06% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.36% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.9% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.44% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.58% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.41% ( 0) Other @ 2.84% Total : 44.71% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 28 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 51 | 29 | 22 | 61 |
2 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 27 | 17 | 7 | 3 | 47 | 18 | 29 | 58 |
3 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 28 | 15 | 9 | 4 | 53 | 28 | 25 | 54 |
4 | Derby CountyDerby | 27 | 14 | 8 | 5 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 50 |
5 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 37 | 23 | 14 | 50 |
6 | Barnsley | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 35 | 25 | 10 | 46 |
7 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 26 | 13 | 2 | 11 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 41 |
8 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 35 | 27 | 8 | 41 |
9 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 35 | 31 | 4 | 41 |
10 | Exeter CityExeter | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 41 | 39 | 2 | 38 |
11 | Portsmouth | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 34 | 32 | 2 | 37 |
12 | Bristol Rovers | 28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 43 | 50 | -7 | 37 |
13 | Port Vale | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 28 | 36 | -8 | 36 |
14 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 34 | 35 | -1 | 35 |
15 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 41 | 38 | 3 | 34 |
16 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 26 | 6 | 13 | 7 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 31 |
17 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 27 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 29 |
18 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 29 |
19 | Morecambe | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 27 |
20 | MK Dons | 28 | 7 | 4 | 17 | 25 | 40 | -15 | 25 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 24 | 41 | -17 | 25 |
22 | Burton Albion | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 25 |
23 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 27 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 23 | 46 | -23 | 25 |
24 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 29 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 24 | 55 | -31 | 21 |
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