Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 45.25%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 28.12% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.94%) and 0-2 (8.46%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 (8.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.
