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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 48.82%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 25.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.32%) and 1-2 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.35%), while for an AFC Wimbledon win it was 1-0 (8.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Oxford United |
25.06% | 26.12% | 48.82% |
Both teams to score 48.57% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.99% | 55.01% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.72% | 76.27% |
AFC Wimbledon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.72% | 37.28% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.94% | 74.06% |
Oxford United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.43% | 22.56% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.84% | 56.16% |
Score Analysis |
AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Oxford United |
1-0 @ 8.3% 2-1 @ 6.1% 2-0 @ 4.1% 3-1 @ 2.01% 3-2 @ 1.49% 3-0 @ 1.35% Other @ 1.72% Total : 25.06% | 1-1 @ 12.35% 0-0 @ 8.41% 2-2 @ 4.54% Other @ 0.81% Total : 26.11% | 0-1 @ 12.52% 0-2 @ 9.32% 1-2 @ 9.2% 0-3 @ 4.63% 1-3 @ 4.57% 2-3 @ 2.25% 0-4 @ 1.72% 1-4 @ 1.7% Other @ 2.91% Total : 48.82% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Portsmouth | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 42 | 22 | 20 | 53 |
2 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 24 | 16 | 3 | 5 | 45 | 24 | 21 | 51 |
3 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 25 | 14 | 7 | 4 | 50 | 27 | 23 | 49 |
4 | Derby CountyDerby | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 47 | 24 | 23 | 49 |
5 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 25 | 14 | 4 | 7 | 42 | 29 | 13 | 46 |
6 | Barnsley | 24 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 46 | 28 | 18 | 43 |
7 | Stevenage | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 37 | 25 | 12 | 43 |
8 | Blackpool | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 42 | 32 | 10 | 39 |
9 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 25 | 11 | 3 | 11 | 31 | 33 | -2 | 36 |
10 | Bristol Rovers | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 34 | 33 | 1 | 34 |
11 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 32 |
12 | Leyton Orient | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 32 |
13 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 39 | 37 | 2 | 30 |
14 | Port Vale | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 28 | 38 | -10 | 30 |
15 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 26 | 9 | 3 | 14 | 17 | 36 | -19 | 30 |
16 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 29 |
17 | Burton Albion | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 21 | 35 | -14 | 28 |
18 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 27 |
19 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 32 | -11 | 27 |
20 | Exeter CityExeter | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 18 | 37 | -19 | 26 |
21 | Reading | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 34 | 41 | -7 | 23 |
22 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 23 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 21 | 38 | -17 | 20 |
24 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 22 | 45 | -23 | 18 |
> League One Full Table |