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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 59.85%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 17.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.26%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.74%), while for an AFC Wimbledon win it was 0-1 (5.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.
Result | ||
Oxford United | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
59.85% | 22.62% | 17.53% |
Both teams to score 48.63% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.35% | 49.65% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.33% | 71.67% |
Oxford United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.79% | 16.2% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.31% | 45.69% |
AFC Wimbledon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.03% | 41.97% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.59% | 78.41% |
Score Analysis |
Oxford United | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
1-0 @ 12.37% 2-0 @ 11.26% 2-1 @ 9.78% 3-0 @ 6.83% 3-1 @ 5.93% 4-0 @ 3.11% 4-1 @ 2.7% 3-2 @ 2.58% 4-2 @ 1.17% 5-0 @ 1.13% 5-1 @ 0.98% Other @ 2% Total : 59.84% | 1-1 @ 10.74% 0-0 @ 6.8% 2-2 @ 4.25% Other @ 0.82% Total : 22.61% | 0-1 @ 5.9% 1-2 @ 4.67% 0-2 @ 2.56% 1-3 @ 1.35% 2-3 @ 1.23% Other @ 1.82% Total : 17.53% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Portsmouth | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 42 | 22 | 20 | 53 |
2 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 24 | 16 | 3 | 5 | 45 | 24 | 21 | 51 |
3 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 25 | 14 | 7 | 4 | 50 | 27 | 23 | 49 |
4 | Derby CountyDerby | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 47 | 24 | 23 | 49 |
5 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 25 | 14 | 4 | 7 | 42 | 29 | 13 | 46 |
6 | Barnsley | 24 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 46 | 28 | 18 | 43 |
7 | Stevenage | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 37 | 25 | 12 | 43 |
8 | Blackpool | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 42 | 32 | 10 | 39 |
9 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 25 | 11 | 3 | 11 | 31 | 33 | -2 | 36 |
10 | Bristol Rovers | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 34 | 33 | 1 | 34 |
11 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 32 |
12 | Leyton Orient | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 32 |
13 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 39 | 37 | 2 | 30 |
14 | Port Vale | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 28 | 38 | -10 | 30 |
15 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 26 | 9 | 3 | 14 | 17 | 36 | -19 | 30 |
16 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 29 |
17 | Burton Albion | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 21 | 35 | -14 | 28 |
18 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 27 |
19 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 32 | -11 | 27 |
20 | Exeter CityExeter | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 18 | 37 | -19 | 26 |
21 | Reading | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 34 | 41 | -7 | 23 |
22 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 23 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 21 | 38 | -17 | 20 |
24 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 22 | 45 | -23 | 18 |
> League One Full Table |