Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 39.76%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 33.18% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.4%) and 0-2 (7.18%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 (9.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crewe Alexandra would win this match.
