Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 46.5%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 27.39% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (8.57%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 0-1 (8.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Plymouth Argyle in this match.
