Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 39.66%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 33.64% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.46%) and 0-2 (7.02%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 (9.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
