Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 47.34%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 24.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.76%) and 2-1 (8.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.82%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 0-1 (9.62%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.
