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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 57.75%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 18.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.59%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.32%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 0-1 (6.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Plymouth Argyle would win this match.
Result | ||
Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
57.75% ( 2.51) | 24.11% ( -0.79) | 18.13% ( -1.73) |
Both teams to score 45.42% ( -0.54) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.46% ( 0.75) | 54.54% ( -0.75) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.11% ( 0.62) | 75.89% ( -0.62) |
Plymouth Argyle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.28% ( 1.26) | 18.72% ( -1.26) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.91% ( 2.07) | 50.09% ( -2.07) |
Shrewsbury Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.88% ( -1.56) | 44.12% ( 1.56) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.78% ( -1.3) | 80.22% ( 1.3) |
Score Analysis |
Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
1-0 @ 13.83% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 11.59% ( 0.57) 2-1 @ 9.49% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 6.48% ( 0.56) 3-1 @ 5.3% ( 0.24) 4-0 @ 2.71% ( 0.33) 4-1 @ 2.22% ( 0.18) 3-2 @ 2.17% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 0.91% ( 0.14) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.14% Total : 57.74% | 1-1 @ 11.32% ( -0.37) 0-0 @ 8.26% ( -0.24) 2-2 @ 3.88% ( -0.14) Other @ 0.65% Total : 24.11% | 0-1 @ 6.76% ( -0.51) 1-2 @ 4.63% ( -0.36) 0-2 @ 2.77% ( -0.34) 1-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.16) 2-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.09) Other @ 1.65% Total : 18.13% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 42 | 27 | 8 | 7 | 73 | 45 | 28 | 89 |
2 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 42 | 25 | 13 | 4 | 87 | 33 | 54 | 88 |
3 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 43 | 25 | 12 | 6 | 75 | 36 | 39 | 87 |
4 | Barnsley | 42 | 25 | 7 | 10 | 74 | 38 | 36 | 82 |
5 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 43 | 23 | 4 | 16 | 73 | 51 | 22 | 73 |
6 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 42 | 20 | 12 | 10 | 56 | 33 | 23 | 72 |
7 | Derby CountyDerby | 43 | 20 | 12 | 11 | 65 | 44 | 21 | 72 |
8 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 43 | 20 | 8 | 15 | 57 | 44 | 13 | 68 |
9 | Portsmouth | 43 | 16 | 17 | 10 | 57 | 47 | 10 | 65 |
10 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 43 | 15 | 13 | 15 | 63 | 59 | 4 | 58 |
11 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 42 | 12 | 20 | 10 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 56 |
12 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 42 | 16 | 8 | 18 | 50 | 55 | -5 | 56 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 43 | 13 | 15 | 15 | 50 | 47 | 3 | 54 |
14 | Exeter CityExeter | 43 | 14 | 11 | 18 | 60 | 58 | 2 | 53 |
15 | Bristol Rovers | 41 | 14 | 10 | 17 | 55 | 64 | -9 | 52 |
16 | Burton Albion | 41 | 13 | 10 | 18 | 55 | 77 | -22 | 49 |
17 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 42 | 12 | 11 | 19 | 37 | 54 | -17 | 47 |
18 | Port Vale | 43 | 12 | 10 | 21 | 43 | 65 | -22 | 46 |
19 | MK Dons | 43 | 11 | 10 | 22 | 40 | 61 | -21 | 43 |
20 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 42 | 9 | 14 | 19 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 41 |
21 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 42 | 11 | 7 | 24 | 36 | 63 | -27 | 40 |
22 | Morecambe | 43 | 8 | 14 | 21 | 39 | 71 | -32 | 38 |
23 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 42 | 9 | 11 | 22 | 36 | 73 | -37 | 38 |
R | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 43 | 6 | 9 | 28 | 30 | 81 | -51 | 27 |
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