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Shrewsbury Town
League One | Gameweek 11
Sep 24, 2022 at 3pm UK
Montgomery Waters Meadow
Burton Albion
Shrewsbury
2 - 1
Burton Albion
Saydee (13'), Bowman (66')
Dunkley (90+11')
FT(HT: 1-0)
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Shrewsbury Town and Burton Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Shrewsbury 0-4 Port Vale
Tuesday, September 20 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Sheff Weds 2-3 Burton Albion
Tuesday, September 20 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Shrewsbury Town 1-1 Burton Albion

The two sides head into Saturday's contest off the back of contrasting results from their last two matches, with Burton seeking to claim a third successive win in all competitions. However, we expect a response from Shrewsbury in front of their own fans and they should do enough to claim at least a draw at New Meadow. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 37.99%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 35.9% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.35%) and 0-2 (6.42%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 (9.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.

Result
Shrewsbury TownDrawBurton Albion
35.9% (0.167 0.17) 26.11% (0.048000000000002 0.05) 37.99% (-0.214 -0.21)
Both teams to score 53.84% (-0.147 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.33% (-0.196 -0.2)50.66% (0.197 0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.43% (-0.172 -0.17)72.57% (0.17399999999999 0.17)
Shrewsbury Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.78% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)27.22% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.36% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)62.64% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.97% (-0.209 -0.21)26.03% (0.21 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.94% (-0.281 -0.28)61.06% (0.282 0.28)
Score Analysis
    Shrewsbury Town 35.9%
    Burton Albion 37.99%
    Draw 26.1%
Shrewsbury TownDrawBurton Albion
1-0 @ 9.22% (0.074 0.07)
2-1 @ 8.07% (0.017000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 6% (0.049 0.05)
3-1 @ 3.5% (0.0079999999999996 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.6% (0.021 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.36% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.14% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 35.9%
1-1 @ 12.4% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.09% (0.056 0.06)
2-2 @ 5.43% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.06% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.1%
0-1 @ 9.54% (0.017999999999999 0.02)
1-2 @ 8.35% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
0-2 @ 6.42% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.75% (-0.037 -0.04)
0-3 @ 2.88% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.44% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.26% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-4 @ 0.97% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 37.99%

How you voted: Shrewsbury vs Burton Albion

Shrewsbury Town
83.3%
Draw
5.6%
Burton Albion
11.1%
18
Head to Head
Aug 7, 2021 3pm
Shrewsbury
0-1
Burton Albion

Leahy (76')
Brayford (31')
David Leak (61'), Powell (87')
Mar 23, 2021 7pm
Nov 3, 2020 6pm
Shrewsbury
1-1
Burton Albion
Udoh (90+9')
Udoh (65'), Daniels (76'), Ebanks-Landell (88')
Hemmings (59')
Edwards (24'), O'Hara (86'), Varney (90+5')
rhs 2.0
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