Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 37.93%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 34.86% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.16%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 (10.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Burton Albion in this match.