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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 36.64%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 34.63% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.64%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 0-1 (11.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Colchester United | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
36.64% ( 0.06) | 28.73% ( 0.12) | 34.63% ( -0.18) |
Both teams to score 45.6% ( -0.35) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.07% ( -0.42) | 60.92% ( 0.42) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.06% ( -0.32) | 80.94% ( 0.32) |
Colchester United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.19% ( -0.17) | 31.81% ( 0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.75% ( -0.2) | 68.25% ( 0.2) |
AFC Wimbledon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.88% ( -0.34) | 33.12% ( 0.34) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.28% ( -0.38) | 69.72% ( 0.38) |
Score Analysis |
Colchester United | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
1-0 @ 12.06% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 7.64% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 6.91% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 2.92% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.64% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.61% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.86% Total : 36.63% | 1-1 @ 13.33% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 10.53% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 4.22% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.64% Total : 28.72% | 0-1 @ 11.64% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 7.37% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 6.43% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.71% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.55% Total : 34.62% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Stockport CountyStockport | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 53 | 26 | 27 | 51 |
2 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 25 | 13 | 10 | 2 | 44 | 20 | 24 | 49 |
3 | Wrexham | 25 | 14 | 7 | 4 | 52 | 36 | 16 | 49 |
4 | BarrowBarrow | 26 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 38 | 24 | 14 | 48 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 48 | 39 | 9 | 44 |
6 | Notts County | 26 | 13 | 3 | 10 | 55 | 47 | 8 | 42 |
7 | AFC Wimbledon | 25 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 41 | 28 | 13 | 39 |
8 | MK Dons | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 39 | 31 | 8 | 39 |
9 | Crawley TownCrawley | 26 | 12 | 3 | 11 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 39 |
10 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 40 | 36 | 4 | 38 |
11 | Gillingham | 25 | 12 | 2 | 11 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 38 |
12 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 32 | 35 | -3 | 37 |
13 | Walsall | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 39 | 36 | 3 | 36 |
14 | Bradford CityBradford | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 33 | 35 | -2 | 34 |
15 | Swindon TownSwindon | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 49 | 52 | -3 | 34 |
16 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 27 | 10 | 3 | 14 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 33 |
17 | Morecambe | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 33 |
18 | Newport CountyNewport | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 31 |
19 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 31 | 46 | -15 | 28 |
20 | Grimsby Town | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 35 | 44 | -9 | 27 |
21 | Salford City | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 24 |
22 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 27 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 37 | 54 | -17 | 24 |
23 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 26 | 46 | -20 | 18 |
24 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 28 | 52 | -24 | 18 |
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