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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 47.87%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 26.73% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.33%) and 0-2 (8.58%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Wrexham |
26.73% ( 0.18) | 25.4% ( 0.02) | 47.87% ( -0.19) |
Both teams to score 52.14% ( 0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.95% ( 0.03) | 51.05% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.09% ( 0.03) | 72.91% ( -0.02) |
AFC Wimbledon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.28% ( 0.16) | 33.72% ( -0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.63% ( 0.17) | 70.37% ( -0.16) |
Wrexham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.66% ( -0.07) | 21.34% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.7% ( -0.12) | 54.3% ( 0.12) |
Score Analysis |
AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Wrexham |
1-0 @ 7.82% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 6.57% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 4.25% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 2.38% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.84% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.54% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.33% Total : 26.73% | 1-1 @ 12.08% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.2% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.07% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.4% | 0-1 @ 11.11% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 9.33% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 8.58% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 4.81% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 4.42% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.61% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.86% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.71% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.01% ( -0) Other @ 2.43% Total : 47.86% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Stockport CountyStockport | 27 | 16 | 6 | 5 | 56 | 27 | 29 | 54 |
2 | Wrexham | 26 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 54 | 36 | 18 | 52 |
3 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 26 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 45 | 21 | 24 | 50 |
4 | BarrowBarrow | 27 | 13 | 10 | 4 | 40 | 26 | 14 | 49 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 50 | 40 | 10 | 47 |
6 | Notts County | 27 | 13 | 4 | 10 | 60 | 52 | 8 | 43 |
7 | MK Dons | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 41 | 32 | 9 | 42 |
8 | Gillingham | 26 | 13 | 2 | 11 | 23 | 31 | -8 | 41 |
9 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 27 | 12 | 4 | 11 | 34 | 35 | -1 | 40 |
10 | AFC Wimbledon | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 41 | 30 | 11 | 39 |
11 | Crawley TownCrawley | 27 | 12 | 3 | 12 | 43 | 45 | -2 | 39 |
12 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 41 | 38 | 3 | 38 |
13 | Walsall | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 40 | 39 | 1 | 36 |
14 | Bradford CityBradford | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 35 |
15 | Swindon TownSwindon | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 50 | 54 | -4 | 34 |
16 | Morecambe | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 38 | 42 | -4 | 34 |
17 | Newport CountyNewport | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 39 | 45 | -6 | 34 |
18 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 28 | 10 | 3 | 15 | 43 | 42 | 1 | 33 |
19 | Grimsby Town | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 40 | 49 | -9 | 28 |
20 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 27 | 8 | 4 | 15 | 31 | 47 | -16 | 28 |
21 | Salford City | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 35 | 48 | -13 | 27 |
22 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 28 | 7 | 4 | 17 | 38 | 55 | -17 | 25 |
23 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 26 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 30 | 54 | -24 | 19 |
24 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 26 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 26 | 48 | -22 | 18 |
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