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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 63.21%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Sheffield Wednesday had a probability of 16.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.84%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.82%), while for a Sheffield Wednesday win it was 0-1 (4.87%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Southampton would win this match.
Result | ||
Southampton | Draw | Sheffield Wednesday |
63.21% ( 0.04) | 20.71% ( -0.03) | 16.08% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 51.65% ( 0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.95% ( 0.09) | 44.06% ( -0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.56% ( 0.09) | 66.44% ( -0.09) |
Southampton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.71% ( 0.04) | 13.3% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.88% ( 0.08) | 40.12% ( -0.08) |
Sheffield Wednesday Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.58% ( 0.04) | 40.43% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.96% ( 0.04) | 77.04% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Southampton | Draw | Sheffield Wednesday |
2-0 @ 10.94% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 10.84% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.91% ( 0) 3-0 @ 7.36% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.67% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.71% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.36% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.02% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.52% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.5% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.36% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.02% Total : 63.21% | 1-1 @ 9.82% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.38% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.49% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 20.71% | 0-1 @ 4.87% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.45% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.2% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.36% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.34% ( 0) Other @ 1.86% Total : 16.08% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 38 | 25 | 7 | 6 | 70 | 28 | 42 | 82 |
2 | Leicester CityLeicester | 37 | 26 | 4 | 7 | 74 | 33 | 41 | 82 |
3 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 38 | 24 | 9 | 5 | 80 | 49 | 31 | 81 |
4 | Southampton | 36 | 22 | 7 | 7 | 73 | 47 | 26 | 73 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 38 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 59 | 36 | 23 | 66 |
6 | Norwich CityNorwich | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 69 | 54 | 15 | 61 |
7 | Hull City | 37 | 16 | 10 | 11 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 58 |
8 | Coventry CityCoventry | 37 | 15 | 12 | 10 | 59 | 43 | 16 | 57 |
9 | Preston North EndPreston | 37 | 16 | 8 | 13 | 49 | 54 | -5 | 56 |
10 | Middlesbrough | 38 | 16 | 6 | 16 | 53 | 52 | 1 | 54 |
11 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 38 | 16 | 5 | 17 | 43 | 51 | -8 | 53 |
12 | Sunderland | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 48 |
13 | Watford | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 53 | 51 | 2 | 48 |
14 | Bristol City | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 47 |
15 | Swansea CitySwansea | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 48 | 58 | -10 | 46 |
16 | Millwall | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 43 |
17 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 51 | 64 | -13 | 42 |
18 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 54 | 62 | -8 | 41 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 35 | 53 | -18 | 41 |
20 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 40 |
21 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 42 | 59 | -17 | 39 |
22 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 38 | 8 | 15 | 15 | 42 | 61 | -19 | 39 |
23 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 38 | 11 | 5 | 22 | 30 | 61 | -31 | 38 |
24 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 38 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 30 | 77 | -47 | 20 |
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