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Cambridge United
League One | Gameweek 28
Jan 13, 2024 at 3.15pm UK
Abbey Stadium
Fleetwood Town
Cambridge
2 - 1
Fleetwood
Taylor (71'), Kaikai (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Omochere (77')
Dolan (16'), Heneghan (83')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Cambridge United and Fleetwood Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fleetwood 1-3 Derby
Saturday, January 6 at 12.30pm in League One

We said: Cambridge United 2-1 Fleetwood Town

With just a nine-point gap between the sides, this is a crucial game for both sides, and nerves may be on show. However, we cannot ignore that Cambridge's home advantage could prove key, leading us to predict a hard-earned triumph. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambridge United win with a probability of 46.01%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 28.82% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cambridge United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Cambridge United in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Cambridge United.

Result
Cambridge UnitedDrawFleetwood Town
46.01% (0.017000000000003 0.02) 25.17% (0.0010000000000012 0) 28.82% (-0.02 -0.02)
Both teams to score 54.4% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.19% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)48.8% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.09% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02)70.9% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.77% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)21.23%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.86% (0.00099999999999767 0)54.13% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Fleetwood Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.06% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)30.94% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.77% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)67.23% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Cambridge United 46%
    Fleetwood Town 28.82%
    Draw 25.17%
Cambridge UnitedDrawFleetwood Town
1-0 @ 10.17%
2-1 @ 9.25% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 7.89% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.78% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 4.07% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.8% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 1.85%
4-0 @ 1.58% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.09% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 46%
1-1 @ 11.94%
0-0 @ 6.57% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-2 @ 5.43% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.1% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.17%
0-1 @ 7.71% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-2 @ 7.01% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-2 @ 4.52% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 2.74% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.12% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 1.77% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 28.82%

How you voted: Cambridge vs Fleetwood

Cambridge United
80.0%
Draw
20.0%
Fleetwood Town
0.0%
5
Head to Head
Dec 2, 2023 3pm
Second Round
Cambridge
4-0
Fleetwood
Andrew (7'), Kachunga (11'), Okenabirhie (13'), Ahadme (83')
Okedina (38')

Stockley (65')
Aug 12, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 2
Fleetwood
0-2
Cambridge

Robertson (14'), Brown (15'), Mayor (26'), Vela (30')
Digby (31'), Ahadme (59')
Brophy (28'), Digby (30'), Lankester (73')
Apr 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 40
Cambridge
2-1
Fleetwood
Lankester (3'), Smith (57' pen.)
Quitirna (82')
Feb 21, 2023 7.45pm
Jan 29, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 30
Fleetwood
1-1
Cambridge
Lane (72')
Camps (73')
Pilkington (65' og.)
May (41'), Okedina (81')
rhs 2.0
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Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Portsmouth27158442251753
2Peterborough UnitedPeterborough26157452282452
3Bolton WanderersBolton24163545242151
4Derby CountyDerby25154647242349
5Oxford UnitedOxford Utd26154745301549
6Barnsley25137548291946
7Stevenage26137638251346
8Blackpool27126944321242
9Northampton TownNorthampton26114113234-237
10Leyton Orient269892831-335
11Bristol Rovers259793535034
12Lincoln CityLincoln2789103030033
13Port Vale2687112838-1031
14Charlton AthleticCharlton2679104039130
15Wycombe WanderersWycombe2679103035-530
16Cambridge UnitedCambridge2586112333-1030
17Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2793151737-2030
18Wigan AthleticWigan26106103631528
19Burton Albion2677122135-1428
20Exeter CityExeter2675141839-2126
21Reading2677123441-724
22Cheltenham TownCheltenham2565141934-1523
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2748152241-1920
24Fleetwood TownFleetwood2646162347-2418

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