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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Colchester United
Crawley Town
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Forest Green Rovers
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Mansfield Town
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Salford City
Stockport County
Sutton United
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Wrexham AFC
Colchester United
League Two | Gameweek 24
Dec 29, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
JobServe Community Stadium
AFC Wimbledon
Colchester
1 - 2
AFC Wimbledon
Akinde (51' pen.)
Chambers (11'), Tovide (36'), Akinde (41')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Davison (67'), Chislett (89')
Currie (23'), Tzanev (51'), (58')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's League Two clash between Colchester United and AFC Wimbledon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Colchester United 1-2 AFC Wimbledon

At the risk of plying their trade outside of the Football League for the first time since 1992, former Colchester City player Johnnie Jackson could once again return to haunt his former employers, as Wimbledon take another step towards an immediate return to League One. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 42.8%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 29.78% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (8.1%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 0-1 (9.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for AFC Wimbledon in this match.

Result
Colchester UnitedDrawAFC Wimbledon
42.8% (0.153 0.15) 27.42% (0.027000000000001 0.03) 29.78% (-0.177 -0.18)
Both teams to score 48.07% (-0.156 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.76% (-0.16 -0.16)57.24% (0.16099999999999 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.91% (-0.129 -0.13)78.09% (0.13 0.13)
Colchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.53% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)26.46% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.35% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)61.65% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.37% (-0.218 -0.22)34.63% (0.219 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.65% (-0.231 -0.23)71.35% (0.23399999999999 0.23)
Score Analysis
    Colchester United 42.8%
    AFC Wimbledon 29.78%
    Draw 27.42%
Colchester UnitedDrawAFC Wimbledon
1-0 @ 12.18% (0.08 0.08)
2-1 @ 8.59% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-0 @ 8.1% (0.052000000000001 0.05)
3-1 @ 3.81% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-0 @ 3.59% (0.023 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.02% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.27% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.19% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 42.8%
1-1 @ 12.92% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.16% (0.055999999999999 0.06)
2-2 @ 4.55% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 27.42%
0-1 @ 9.72% (0.0019999999999989 0)
1-2 @ 6.85% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-2 @ 5.15% (-0.03 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.42% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.82% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.61% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 29.78%

How you voted: Colchester vs AFC Wimbledon

Colchester United
30.0%
Draw
10.0%
AFC Wimbledon
60.0%
10
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2022 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1MK Dons22006336
2BarrowBarrow22004226
3Gillingham22002026
4Mansfield TownMansfield21105234
5Salford City21103124
6Crawley TownCrawley21102114
7Sutton UnitedSutton21016333
8Accrington StanleyAccrington21013123
9Newport CountyNewport21014313
10Walsall21013303
11Bradford CityBradford21012203
12Harrogate TownHarrogate21011103
13Forest Green RoversForest Green210112-13
14Morecambe210124-23
15Notts County210147-33
16Crewe AlexandraCrewe20204402
17AFC Wimbledon20201102
18Swindon TownSwindon10102201
19Grimsby Town201123-11
20Wrexham201146-21
21Colchester UnitedColchester100112-10
22Tranmere RoversTranmere200213-20
23Stockport CountyStockport200213-20
24Doncaster RoversDoncaster200205-50

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