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AFC Wimbledon
Barrow
Bradford City
Carlisle United
Colchester United
Crawley Town
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
Hartlepool United
Leyton Orient
Mansfield Town
Newport County
Northampton Town
Rochdale
Salford City
Stockport County
Sutton United
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Dec 10, 2022 at 3pm UK at The Borough Sports Ground
League Two | Gameweek 21
Sutton
1 - 0
Colchester
Milsom (45+9' pen.)
Randall (69'), Kizzi (90+5')
Boldewijn (67')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Smith (18'), Ashley (45+1'), Tchamadeu (69'), Tovide (90+5')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Sutton United and Colchester United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Sutton United 1-1 Colchester United

With both sides focused very much on caution and limitation as a means to gain results, and with neither side being flushed for goals this season, it is hard to see past the likelihood of a draw this weekend. Randall's potential absence will be a big loss for Sutton in attack, whilst Colchester may find a draw away from home to be worth grinding out for at Gander Green Lane. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 50.22%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Colchester United had a probability of 22.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.34%) and 2-1 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.48%), while for a Colchester United win it was 0-1 (8.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sutton United in this match.

Result
Sutton UnitedDrawColchester United
50.22% (0.276 0.28) 27.1% (-0.101 -0.1) 22.68% (-0.172 -0.17)
Both teams to score 43.62% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.76% (0.199 0.2)60.24% (-0.196 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.58% (0.151 0.15)80.42% (-0.148 -0.15)
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.82% (0.215 0.22)24.18% (-0.214 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.49% (0.305 0.31)58.51% (-0.303 -0.3)
Colchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.54% (-0.058000000000007 -0.06)42.47% (0.059000000000005 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.17% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)78.84% (0.051999999999992 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Sutton United 50.2%
    Colchester United 22.68%
    Draw 27.1%
Sutton UnitedDrawColchester United
1-0 @ 14.57% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 10.34% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-1 @ 8.86% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
3-0 @ 4.9% (0.055 0.05)
3-1 @ 4.19% (0.04 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.8% (0.015 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.74% (0.03 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.49% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 50.2%
1-1 @ 12.48% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 10.27% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-2 @ 3.8% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 27.1%
0-1 @ 8.8% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
1-2 @ 5.35% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.77% (-0.04 -0.04)
1-3 @ 1.53% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.08%
0-3 @ 1.08% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 1.09%
Total : 22.68%

Head to Head
Jan 18, 2022 7.45pm
Sutton
3-2
Colchester
Olaofe (9', 64'), Randall (90+2')
Smith (45+2'), Eastmond (57')
Edwards (3'), Sears (44' pen.)
Dallison (21'), Sears (59'), Huws (75'), Smith (77')
Jan 4, 2022 7.45pm
Third Round
Sutton
2-1
Colchester
Turner (7' og.), Wilson (52')
Kizzi (57')
Sears (45')
Dobra (34'), Coxe (57'), Sarpong-Wiredu (57')
Oct 26, 2021 7.45pm
Colchester
1-3
Sutton
Sears (2')
Hannant (5'), Smith (57'), Chilvers (82')
Tovide (27')
Ajiboye (12'), Milsom (28' pen.), Goodliffe (61')
Goodliffe (55')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeyton Orient432512658292987
2Northampton TownNorthampton442214860402080
3Stevenage432113957391876
4Stockport CountyStockport4421121161362575
5Carlisle UnitedCarlisle442015963392475
6Salford City442191469511872
7Bradford CityBradford431915956381872
8Mansfield TownMansfield4320121168511772
9BarrowBarrow44188184649-362
10Swindon TownSwindon431513155851758
11Tranmere RoversTranmere441512174446-257
12Sutton UnitedSutton441512174453-957
13Grimsby Town431413164654-855
14Newport CountyNewport431314164750-353
15Gillingham441313183447-1352
16Doncaster RoversDoncaster44157224463-1952
17Walsall441118154448-451
18Crewe AlexandraCrewe421215154153-1251
19Colchester UnitedColchester441213194448-449
20AFC Wimbledon441114194758-1147
21Harrogate TownHarrogate431015185364-1145
22Crawley TownCrawley441112214769-2245
23Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool44815214876-2839
RRochdale44810264168-2734

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