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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 50.22%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Colchester United had a probability of 22.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.34%) and 2-1 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.48%), while for a Colchester United win it was 0-1 (8.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sutton United in this match.
Result | ||
Sutton United | Draw | Colchester United |
50.22% ( 0.28) | 27.1% ( -0.1) | 22.68% ( -0.17) |
Both teams to score 43.62% ( 0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.76% ( 0.2) | 60.24% ( -0.2) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.58% ( 0.15) | 80.42% ( -0.15) |
Sutton United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.82% ( 0.22) | 24.18% ( -0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.49% ( 0.31) | 58.51% ( -0.3) |
Colchester United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.54% ( -0.06) | 42.47% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.17% ( -0.05) | 78.84% ( 0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Sutton United | Draw | Colchester United |
1-0 @ 14.57% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 10.34% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 8.86% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 4.9% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 4.19% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.8% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.74% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.49% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.32% Total : 50.2% | 1-1 @ 12.48% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 10.27% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 3.8% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.55% Total : 27.1% | 0-1 @ 8.8% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 5.35% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 3.77% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.08% 0-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.09% Total : 22.68% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Leyton Orient | 43 | 25 | 12 | 6 | 58 | 29 | 29 | 87 |
2 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 44 | 22 | 14 | 8 | 60 | 40 | 20 | 80 |
3 | Stevenage | 43 | 21 | 13 | 9 | 57 | 39 | 18 | 76 |
4 | Stockport CountyStockport | 44 | 21 | 12 | 11 | 61 | 36 | 25 | 75 |
5 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 44 | 20 | 15 | 9 | 63 | 39 | 24 | 75 |
6 | Salford City | 44 | 21 | 9 | 14 | 69 | 51 | 18 | 72 |
7 | Bradford CityBradford | 43 | 19 | 15 | 9 | 56 | 38 | 18 | 72 |
8 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 43 | 20 | 12 | 11 | 68 | 51 | 17 | 72 |
9 | BarrowBarrow | 44 | 18 | 8 | 18 | 46 | 49 | -3 | 62 |
10 | Swindon TownSwindon | 43 | 15 | 13 | 15 | 58 | 51 | 7 | 58 |
11 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 44 | 15 | 12 | 17 | 44 | 46 | -2 | 57 |
12 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 44 | 15 | 12 | 17 | 44 | 53 | -9 | 57 |
13 | Grimsby Town | 43 | 14 | 13 | 16 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 55 |
14 | Newport CountyNewport | 43 | 13 | 14 | 16 | 47 | 50 | -3 | 53 |
15 | Gillingham | 44 | 13 | 13 | 18 | 34 | 47 | -13 | 52 |
16 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 44 | 15 | 7 | 22 | 44 | 63 | -19 | 52 |
17 | Walsall | 44 | 11 | 18 | 15 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 51 |
18 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 42 | 12 | 15 | 15 | 41 | 53 | -12 | 51 |
19 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 44 | 12 | 13 | 19 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 49 |
20 | AFC Wimbledon | 44 | 11 | 14 | 19 | 47 | 58 | -11 | 47 |
21 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 43 | 10 | 15 | 18 | 53 | 64 | -11 | 45 |
22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 44 | 11 | 12 | 21 | 47 | 69 | -22 | 45 |
23 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 44 | 8 | 15 | 21 | 48 | 76 | -28 | 39 |
R | Rochdale | 44 | 8 | 10 | 26 | 41 | 68 | -27 | 34 |
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