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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 48.66%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Rochdale had a probability of 24.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.67%) and 2-1 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.56%), while for a Rochdale win it was 0-1 (8.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sutton United in this match.
Result | ||
Sutton United | Draw | Rochdale |
48.66% ( -0.01) | 26.88% ( -0) | 24.46% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 45.94% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.84% ( 0.01) | 58.16% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.19% ( 0.01) | 78.82% ( -0.01) |
Sutton United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.01% | 23.99% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.76% | 58.24% ( -0) |
Rochdale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.43% ( 0.02) | 39.57% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.75% ( 0.02) | 76.25% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Sutton United | Draw | Rochdale |
1-0 @ 13.55% 2-0 @ 9.67% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.97% 3-0 @ 4.6% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.27% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.98% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.64% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.52% Other @ 2.46% Total : 48.66% | 1-1 @ 12.56% 0-0 @ 9.49% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.16% ( 0) Other @ 0.67% Total : 26.87% | 0-1 @ 8.8% 1-2 @ 5.83% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.08% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.8% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.29% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.26% ( 0) Other @ 1.41% Total : 24.46% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Leyton Orient | 45 | 26 | 12 | 7 | 60 | 33 | 27 | 90 |
P | Stevenage | 45 | 23 | 13 | 9 | 60 | 39 | 21 | 82 |
3 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 45 | 22 | 14 | 9 | 61 | 42 | 19 | 80 |
4 | Stockport CountyStockport | 45 | 22 | 12 | 11 | 64 | 36 | 28 | 78 |
5 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 45 | 20 | 15 | 10 | 65 | 42 | 23 | 75 |
6 | Salford City | 45 | 22 | 9 | 14 | 72 | 53 | 19 | 75 |
7 | Bradford CityBradford | 44 | 20 | 15 | 9 | 58 | 39 | 19 | 75 |
8 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 45 | 20 | 12 | 13 | 70 | 55 | 15 | 72 |
9 | BarrowBarrow | 45 | 18 | 8 | 19 | 47 | 52 | -5 | 62 |
10 | Swindon TownSwindon | 45 | 15 | 13 | 17 | 59 | 54 | 5 | 58 |
11 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 45 | 15 | 13 | 17 | 45 | 47 | -2 | 58 |
12 | Grimsby Town | 45 | 15 | 13 | 17 | 48 | 56 | -8 | 58 |
13 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 45 | 15 | 12 | 18 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 57 |
14 | Newport CountyNewport | 45 | 14 | 14 | 17 | 51 | 54 | -3 | 56 |
15 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 45 | 16 | 7 | 22 | 45 | 63 | -18 | 55 |
16 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 44 | 13 | 15 | 16 | 43 | 56 | -13 | 54 |
17 | Walsall | 45 | 11 | 19 | 15 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 52 |
18 | Gillingham | 45 | 13 | 13 | 19 | 35 | 49 | -14 | 52 |
19 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 45 | 12 | 15 | 18 | 58 | 67 | -9 | 51 |
20 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 45 | 12 | 13 | 20 | 44 | 49 | -5 | 49 |
21 | AFC Wimbledon | 45 | 11 | 15 | 19 | 48 | 59 | -11 | 48 |
22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 45 | 11 | 13 | 21 | 47 | 69 | -22 | 46 |
R | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 45 | 9 | 15 | 21 | 51 | 77 | -26 | 42 |
R | Rochdale | 45 | 9 | 10 | 26 | 45 | 69 | -24 | 37 |
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